Right now, “yes” shares for the crypto-based betting platform’s “Minouche Shafik out as Columbia President in April?” contract are trading at 7 cents, signaling a 7% chance of her ouster in that timeframe. Each contract pays out $1 if the prediction turns out to be true, and zero if it’s false. Source
Tag: Odds
Presidential Election Betting Surges as Odds Tighten on Polymarket
The competition has notably intensified in recent months for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as indicated by the prediction market platform Polymarket. Just two months ago, former President Donald Trump was ahead with a 52% lead, while incumbent Joe Biden was at 33%. Current figures from Polymarket still place Trump in the lead, albeit by […] Source CryptoX Portal
Are The Odds In Bitcoin Bulls Favor? Analysts Forecast Its Future
As the Bitcoin (BTC) “Halving” approaches, expectations increase about how the flagship cryptocurrency will perform. Bitcoin (BTC) is recovering momentum after facing a significant correction in the first few days of Q2, and some analysts are forecasting new heights for the number one cryptocurrency soon. Are The Odds In The Bulls Or Bears Favor? Bitcoin had its best quarterly close during Q1, 2024. Despite BTC’s stellar performance, as Q2 started, the market was dragged by the leading cryptocurrency’s price correction. Since then, Bitcoin has been steadily recovering, testing the $70,000…
Who Will Trump Pick for Veep? Polymarket Gives Tim Scott Best Odds
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., best known for his staunch anti-vax views, is at 2%. While the scion of a Democratic dynasty hasn’t quite defected to the GOP, the Twitterati had floated the idea of a unity ticket with Trump and Kennedy, though, again, that idea is farfetched and the market is reflecting its unlikelihood. Source
Underdogs Defy Odds, Shaking up NCAA Tournament Brackets
With the dust settling from Thursday’s upsets, attention shifts to an equally promising lineup of games in the South and Midwest Regions, where teams like Marquette, NC State, Houston, and Duke vie for dominance in their quest for the Final Four. March Madness Delivers Rising Underdogs and Steadfast Favorites Statistically, this tournament has been one […] Source CryptoX Portal
Bitcoin ETF Approval Odds Raised to Over 90% at Bloomberg, Drop on Polymarket
Two influential analysts have tipped odds at over 90% ahead of the Securities and Exchange Commission decision. Original
Spot Bitcoin ETF Odds ‘Might Have Increased To 100%’: Matrixport
Matrixport, a leading digital finance platform, today, November 22, released a comprehensive research note focusing on the significant implications of yesterday’s developments in the crypto industry, particularly regarding the prospects of a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) in the United States. Following the guilty plea of Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) and the substantial financial settlements involved, Matrixport suggests that the path for approving a spot Bitcoin ETF might have become significantly clearer. The note highlights the regulatory crackdowns and compliance upgrades in the crypto sector, indicating a shift towards…
Ripple faces slim odds of $770M disgorgement
Attorney John Deaton, representing XRP holders, has made a persuasive case in the Ripple vs. SEC legal saga, suggesting that the anticipated $770 million disgorgement for Ripple is improbable. He grounds his prediction on various influential factors that could sway the court’s judgment. Deaton underscores the significance of the Supreme Court’s Morrison ruling, which effectively limits the SEC’s jurisdiction to sales within the United States. This gains relevance as Ripple’s XRP sales in the United Kingdom, Japan, Switzerland, and other areas face scrutiny. Additionally, the legal standing of XRP in…
Market Sees 59% Odds Sam Bankman-Fried Is Found Guilty on All Charges – But There's a Catch
Traders on crypto-powered Polymarket have bet a grand total of $4,512 on the question, underscoring the current limitations of prediction markets. Source
Federal Judge’s Ruling Boosts Odds of US Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval, Adds Optimism to Grayscale’s Bitcoin and Ethereum Trusts
My view is if a U.S. spot bitcoin ETF gets approved, there should be little argument for holding up a spot ether ETF. And Grayscale itself has said it plans to convert ETHE and other products to ETFs. I wouldn’t hold your breath when it comes to SOL, ATOM or any other smaller crypto asset, but we have first-hand knowledge that ETH ETFs work. In fact, ethereum ETFs launched within weeks of the first bitcoin ETF. Regulators in Canada were comfortable with the product because there is a regulated futures…