Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi traders have moved $5.5M in combined volume on KY-04, with Gallrein at 52%. Super PACs backing Gallrein have spent $14M+, making KY-04 the costliest U.S. House primary ever. Massie trails Gallrein 43% to 48% in polling, with the May 19 outcome hinging on turnout. Gallrein Pulls Ahead of Massie on Polymarket and Kalshi in Kentucky House Race On Polymarket, the KY-04 Republican Primary Winner market has drawn $1,417,372 in total trading volume. Gallrein currently holds a 52% implied probability of winning, with shares priced at…
Tag: Bitcoin
Saylor Chart Puts Strategy’s Next Bitcoin Buy on Watch
Key Takeaways Michael Saylor’s “Big Dot Energy” chart fueled speculation around another Strategy BTC purchase disclosure. Strategy continues expanding its bitcoin-focused treasury strategy through preferred share financing. Oversized purchase markers highlighted Strategy’s largest bitcoin accumulation periods during 2024 and 2025. Saylor’s Orange Dot Post Puts Strategy’s BTC Scale in Focus Michael Saylor, Strategy’s executive chairman, put the company’s bitcoin position back in focus on May 17 with an orange-dot chart and the phrase “Big Dot Energy.” The chart showed Strategy’s BTC purchases over time, with larger dots marking larger buys.…
Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Climbs Back To August 2025 Levels As 316,000 BTC Move Into Strong Hands
Bitcoin’s latest on-chain picture is beginning to look less like panic and more like patience. Data from CryptoQuant, highlighted by crypto analyst Darkfost, shows that long-term holder supply has climbed back to 15.26 million BTC, returning to a level last seen in August 2025. The move comes at a sensitive point for Bitcoin, with the price still trying to build strength around $80,000 while traders are currently split between another breakdown and a recovery. Related Reading Long-Term Holders Add 316,000 BTC In 30 Days On-chain data tracked by CryptoQuant shows…
Bitcoin Holds $78K Support as Traders Watch for Breakout Toward $80K – Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways Bitcoin held above $78K on May 17 as BTC traders monitored resistance near $79K. Technical metrics highlight mixed BTC signals, with MACD Sell pressure offset by RSI neutrality. Market data shows BTC volume at $19.84B as markets watched the $77.4K support zone. Bitcoin Chart Outlook On the 1-hour chart, bitcoin displayed modest recovery attempts following the move down toward the $77,600 low, with higher lows beginning to develop during a low- volatility session. Immediate support formed near $77,800, while resistance remained between $78,600 and $79,000. Volume stayed relatively…
Bitcoin steadies near $78K as Iran responds to U.S. peace terms
Iran has responded to a U.S. list of conditions for a possible peace deal, according to reports shared by The Kobeissi Letter. Summary Bitcoin stayed near $78,000 as traders weighed Iran’s counterconditions and wider Middle East war risk. Crypto.news data showed Bitcoin up slightly daily, but still lower across the past week overall. Iran’s demands over sanctions, frozen funds and Hormuz kept oil-linked pressure on risk assets. Tehran’s stated demands include an end to the war on all fronts across the Middle East, the lifting of U.S. sanctions, the release…
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Bitcoin slides below $79K on macro fears: Can fixed-income outflows save it?
While macro pain and Iran war uncertainty drag Bitcoin below $79K, fixed-income market outflows could trigger a medium-term Bitcoin rebound. Bitcoin (BTC) faced a sharp contraction on Friday following a rejection at $82,000 the prior day. Recent price movements closely resembled the US small-capitalization stock index, hinting that macroeconomic factors are the leading drivers behind the nosedive below $79,000. The anxiety sparked a sell-off in fixed-income markets. Counterintuitively, this may help Bitcoin embark on a sustained bull run over the next few weeks. Key takeaways: Read more Original
Harvard dumps Ether ETF as Abu Dhabi doubles down on Bitcoin
Institutional crypto ETF filings for the first quarter showed a split between buyers and sellers. Summary Harvard fully exited BlackRock’s Ether ETF while cutting its IBIT position another 43% in Q1. Mubadala added two million IBIT shares, keeping Abu Dhabi’s Bitcoin ETF exposure above $500 million. Dartmouth kept Bitcoin exposure flat but added Solana staking ETF shares, widening endowment crypto allocations. Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Investment Company raised its BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust position, while Harvard Management Company reduced its Bitcoin ETF stake and removed its BlackRock Ether ETF holding. The…
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Will Strategy Sell Bitcoin? Saylor Says ‘Never Sell’ Needed a Reset
Michael Saylor has said Strategy may sell Bitcoin when needed, marking a careful change from his long-running “never sell” message. Summary Saylor says Strategy may sell limited Bitcoin, but only while remaining a long-term net buyer. Strategy’s $1.5B note buyback lists Bitcoin sales as a possible funding option for debt retirement. Dividend costs, STRC growth, and fresh BTC purchases keep Strategy’s treasury model under market scrutiny. The Strategy executive chairman said the company must show that Bitcoin remains a usable asset, not a locked reserve that cannot support the business.…