Tag: Markets

XRP SEC Classification Status: What It Means for Markets

On March 17, 2026, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) jointly released a regulatory framework that officially classifies XRP as a “digital commodity.” This designation, arguably the most significant regulatory pivot in the asset’s history, places XRP on the same legal footing as Bitcoin and Ethereum, effectively ending the securities debate that has shadowed Ripple Labs since 2020. With the “security” label removed, oversight of XRP spot markets now falls primarily under the CFTC’s jurisdiction, clearing the path for standardized institutional products and…

Gemini Q4 Revenue Lifts Shares Despite Weaker Crypto Markets

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Shares in crypto exchange Gemini surged after hours as stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results showed revenue growth driven by credit card adoption and a reworked fee structure. Gemini reported on Thursday that its Q4 revenues rose 39% from the year-ago quarter to $60.3 million, reportedly beating analyst expectations of $51.7 million. It reported a net loss of $140.8 million for Q4, deepening from its $27 million loss from a year ago. Gemini posted a total 2025 loss of $585 million, ahead of its total 2024 losses of $156.6 million. Gemini co-founders Cameron…

Execution Quality Is The Missing Metric In Bitcoin And Ethereum Markets

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Opinion by: Arthur Azizov, founder of B2 Ventures Transaction cost analysis (TCA) has long been an important tool in equity trading. With this instrument, traders can see the hidden costs that a transaction carries and minimize the difference between the expected and the actual price. As crypto matures, it begins to resemble traditional financial markets and functions like other tradable instruments. Crypto transactions also come with costs: fees that investors pay every time they buy or sell crypto. Yet there is one thing that is clearly not keeping pace with…

Max pain at $75k but $596m in $20k Bitcoin puts expose market’s fear

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Summary Deribit data shows $20k Bitcoin put options are now the third most crowded strike by open interest, with about $596m notional, behind $125k and $75k calls heading into the quarterly expiry. Despite the doomsday optics, much of the $20k put exposure likely reflects traders selling tail-risk insurance for premium rather than betting on a 70%+ crash from spot. With max pain clustered around $75k and fear gauges elevated after macro and geopolitical shocks, the positioning highlights a split market: structurally bullish but acutely aware of low‑probability blow-up scenarios. As…

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $55K in 2026

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Bitcoin (BTC) may go as low as $55,000 in 2026 as the market lacks bullish catalysts amid macroeconomic uncertainties.  Key takeaways: BTC price has a 65%-71% chance of dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, according to prediction markets. Bettors don’t expect Strategy to sell its BTC holdings in 2026.  Whale selling and negative ETFs flows add to Bitcoin’s sell-side pressure.  Prediction markets see BTC bear market continuing The majority of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend throughout 2026, with targets as low as $40,000.  Related:…

Crypto Fear & Greed Index Rises as $2B in Liquidity Enters Markets

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The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained at 26 on Wednesday, after rising to 28, a day earlier, ending the indicators’ 48-day stretch in the “extreme fear” zone. The Crypto Fear & Greed index tracks market sentiment using volatility, momentum, volume, and social data. Any reading below 25 signals extreme fear, while higher values reflect an improving risk appetite. Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Source: alternative.me The index reading points to an improvement in market sentiment this week, marking its first exit from extreme fear in over six weeks. The…

US Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Crack Down on Prediction Markets War Bets

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Two Democratic lawmakers in the US Congress have introduced legislation in response to “government corruption” over bets on prediction markets platforms. In a Tuesday announcement, Texas Representative Greg Casar and Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy said they had introduced the Banning Event Trading on Sensitive Operations and ​Federal Functions (BETS OFF) Act after several Polymarket accounts made “highly unusual bets” that a war between the US and Israel against Iran would begin. Murphy said on March 4 that it was likely that people with “inside information” of US President Donald Trump’s…

Why Bitcoin Price Could Stage A Stronger Rally Than Previous Bull Markets

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Bitcoin is playing out a price movement that has convinced many traders that October 2025 was the cycle peak. However, an interesting technical analysis shows that the market structure still does not look complete. Analyst CryptoAmsterdam made the case that Bitcoin is moving through a temporary correction inside a much larger phase. If that reading is correct, then Bitcoin could still stage a stronger rally than previous bull markets. Bitcoin May Still Be Inside An Unfinished Macro Bull Cycle Every major Bitcoin bull run has followed a recognizable five-stage sequence: a…

Bitcoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Shares How Painful Bear Markets Can Get

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Bitcoin’s extended pullback from its all-time high has left traders in uncertainty, and many investors are unsure whether the worst of the decline has already passed.  One analyst known as Jelle on X is of the notion that the conversation may be missing an uncomfortable reality that Bitcoin bear markets often become far more painful than most participants expect. The price data, he argues, supports a more concerning interpretation of how Bitcoin’s current pullback will play out. Related Reading Current Bitcoin Decline Still Smaller Than Previous Bear Markets Crypto analyst…