Bitcoin prediction market contracts across multiple platforms are converging around a narrow price band for early 2026, with traders broadly assigning low probabilities to aggressive upside scenarios and treating six-figure outcomes as long-shot events. Prediction Markets Point to $65K as Bitcoin’s Most Likely February Outcome On Polymarket, the most actively traded contract asks what price […] Original
South Korean regulators are stepping up oversight of the domestic cryptocurrency market, signaling a faster, more coordinated approach to detecting suspicious trading activity amid renewed volatility. The heightened scrutiny was highlighted after South Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) said it was reviewing sharp price movements in the ZKsync token listed on Upbit, following extreme volatility concentrated around a system maintenance window, according to The Korea Economic Daily (Hankyung). The FSS said it was analyzing data and could escalate the review into a formal investigation, depending on the findings. FSS officials…
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has withdrawn a Biden administration-era proposal that would have banned sports and political prediction markets, some of the most popular event contracts today. The recently confirmed CFTC chair, Mike Selig, said on Wednesday that the agency has withdrawn a 2024 notice of proposed rulemaking that sought to ban event contracts for sports, politics and war, among other topics, classifying them as “contrary to the public interest.” Selig said the proposal “reflected the prior administration’s frolic into merit regulation with an outright prohibition on political…
In 2025, traditional finance players — from retail brokers to major exchange operators — moved decisively into prediction markets. What was once a niche product has turned into a fast-growing part of mainstream market infrastructure. Trading volumes jumped from about $9 billion in 2024 to roughly $40 billion in 2025, according to industry research. Projections now point to annual volumes approaching $1 trillion by the end of the decade, pushing prediction markets from an experimental corner of finance into a meaningful revenue line. What Brokers Are Actually Offering Distribution-first positioning…
▶ Coinbase Website: Coinbase.com ▶ CEX Website: cex.io Gold and silver just experienced historic volatility while Bitcoin feels strangely stuck. In this episode of No Second Best, we step back from the noise to examine why traditional monetary signals are breaking down, why the Fed is dismissing the message, and why Bitcoin’s price action is confusing so many people right now. The explanation isn’t obvious — and it challenges some deeply held assumptions. Timestamps 00:00 Market Chaos: Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin Crash 00:56 Bitcoin’s Struggles and Market Theories 01:46 Gold’s…
HYPE gained double digits on Monday after the team behind HyperCore, the core infrastructure powering Hyperliquid’s layer-1 network, said it will support the HIP-4 proposal to expand into prediction markets. The integration would allow fully collateralized contracts on Hyperliquid, the largest decentralized perpetual futures crypto platform, enabling traders to wager on political elections, sports and other markets. In an X post on Monday, Hyperliquid said the support was driven by “extensive user demand” for prediction markets and bounded options-like instruments, while adding that HIP-4 could allow other novel applications to…
Bitcoin slid below $80k after Warsh’s Fed nod, triggering $2.5B liquidations before stabilizing near a key mid-cycle support zone analysts see as potential cycle floor. Summary Bitcoin dropped under $80k as Kevin Warsh’s Fed appointment accelerated risk-off moves and crypto deleveraging, with roughly $2.5 billion in leveraged longs liquidated. QCP Asia says BTC is holding a mid-cycle support area but momentum and options positioning still point to downside risk if this zone fails. Analyst PlanC argues the $75k–$80k region may mark a capitulation-style cycle bottom, echoing prior shakeouts that preceded…
A broad market sell-off has intensified as bitcoin fell to $74,532, marking a 23% decline from its mid-January peak and momentarily dragging its market cap below $1.5 trillion. Global Equity Markets Face Contagion The crypto market sell-off spilled over into a new week as bitcoin slipped to $74,532, its lowest since November 2024. The plunge […] Original
At press time at 4:45 p.m. EST on Sunday, Feb. 1, bitcoin is trading at $76,601 as cross-asset markets wobble under liquidation pressure, geopolitical tension, and a sudden loss of risk appetite. Markets Lose Their Balance as Risk Appetite Fades Across Assets The crypto economy now stands at roughly $2.6 trillion, but the headline number […] Original
Bitcoin is changing hands at $78,199 per coin as of 9:55 a.m. Eastern time on Feb. 1, 2026, while derivatives traders quietly take their foot off the leverage pedal. Futures open interest and options positioning point to a market more interested in risk control than moonshot bets. Bitcoin Futures and Options Show Defensive Shift Across […] Original