Tag: Markets

US Markets Race Toward Onchain Settlement After SEC No Action

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Traditional financial markets are moving rapidly onchain as the US Securities and Exchange Commission chair doubled down on the idea of an “innovation exemption” to accelerate tokenization. “U.S. financial markets are poised to move on-chain,” wrote Paul Atkins, chair of the SEC, in a Friday X post, adding that the agency is “embracing new technologies to enable this onchain future.” His comments come shortly after the SEC issued a “no action” letter to a subsidiary of the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC), enabling it to offer a new securities…

Prediction Markets Get Leeway From CFTC Event Contract Rules

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The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has issued “no-action” letters to a group of prediction markets, exempting them from requirements related to swap data reporting and record-keeping regulations. The CFTC’s Division of Market Oversight and the Division of Clearing and Risk won’t initiate enforcement action against several prediction market platforms for shirking certain recordkeeping demands, provided they follow other specific requirements, the agencies said in a statement on Thursday. “The no-action letters apply only in narrow circumstances and are comparable to no-action letters issued for other similarly situated designated contract markets…

Crypto Markets Bounce On Fed Rate Cut, More Gains Expected

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Crypto markets saw a slight pickup after the US Federal Reserve’s widely expected rate cut on Wednesday, and a larger bounce could be next, analysts say.  The central bank has executed three consecutive interest rate cuts totaling 0.75% over a three-month period from September to December.  Despite being fundamentally bullish for crypto in the long term, each cut triggered short-term sell-offs, following a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern, the onchain analytics firm Santiment said on Thursday.  However, there is “typically a bounce after the dust settles,” it…

Betting Markets Place Bitcoin Price Below $100K for the Rest of 2025

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Bitcoin (BTC) could remain pinned below $100,000 for the remainder of 2025 as the market weakened following the US Fed rate cut decision on Wednesday. Key takeaways: BTC price has only a 30% chance of hitting $100,000 before Jan. 1, according to prediction markets. Bitcoin treasury buying has slowed significantly, hindering short-term recovery attempts. Bitcoin faces resistance at $94,000, with an ascending triangle breakout possible to the $98,000 liquidity zone.  30% chance BTC reclaims $100,000 before New Year The majority of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi expect Bitcoin to remain…

How Bitcoin Could Pay Off $35 Trillion Debt!

▶ Coinbase Website: Coinbase.com ▶ CEX Website: cex.io Under Trump’s leadership, the U.S. could adopt Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, potentially accumulating 1 million coins to prepare for a future financial reset. Samson Mow explores the bold idea of rebasing the dollar to Satoshis, paying off national debt with Bitcoin, and transitioning to a Bitcoin-based economy. Discover how this revolutionary plan could reshape global finance. Subscribe for insights into Bitcoin’s growing role in national strategy. ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ YouTube: ✔ Twitter: ✔ Instagram: ✔ Telegram: ✔…

CFTC Innovation Council Adds Prediction Markets & Crypto Exchange CEOs

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The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has added a host of blockchain industry executives alongside counterparts from traditional finance as part of the agency’s new CEO Innovation Council.  According to an announcement on Wednesday, the CEO Innovation Council will discuss market structure developments relating to the derivatives markets overseen by the CFTC.  The discussion topics will primarily be about “tokenization, crypto assets, 24/7 trading, perpetual contracts, prediction markets and blockchain market infrastructure.”  The list of participants includes the bosses of crypto exchanges and prediction markets such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Kraken,…

Crypto Exchange Gemini Gets US Nod for Prediction Markets

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Crypto exchange Gemini, founded by billionaire twins Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, has scored a license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to offer prediction markets in the US. Gemini said on Wednesday that its affiliate, Gemini Titan, received a designated contract market license from the CFTC and “plans to enter into the prediction markets space.” The company said that “starting shortly,” its US users would be able to trade event contracts on its web platform and could expand its US derivatives offerings to include crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts.…

Elite Traders Hunt Retail Investors On Prediction Markets

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Prediction markets are emerging as a new battleground in the crypto economy, where the best-informed traders are competing against casual retail bettors for profits. Most users are behaving more like sports bettors than disciplined traders, according to a Tuesday report from research firm 10x Research, which said they are trading “dopamine and narrative for discipline and edge.” It added: “Accuracy and profit are driven not by the crowd, but by a tiny, informed elite who price probability, hedge exposure, and extract premium from retail-driven longshots.” The rising liquidity and retail…

Crypto Prediction Markets Lure Traders With AI And Arbitrage

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Blockchain-based prediction markets are drawing in more speculators as traders hunt for returns that can beat simply holding spot cryptocurrencies, according to a new report. Prediction markets are emerging as a new speculative arena for traders, pitting casual retail participants against data-driven, professional traders, creating “extreme information asymmetry and meaningful arbitrage windows,” according to a Monday report from crypto research company 10X Research. While sports bets account for the lion’s share of activity on these platforms, Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto-outcome related events are presenting more niche opportunities that digital asset…

King Of Meme Coin Marks 12th Birthday In Rough Markets

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Dogecoin has just celebrated its 12th anniversary, a milestone that arrives during a period of shaky price action. The meme coin has spent the majority of recent days trading with a bearish tone, but its anniversary places into perspective how much the crypto environment has changed since the token’s joke-related launch in 2013.  The celebration comes as analysts continue to debate whether Dogecoin’s long accumulation structure is nearing a turning point, and its next breakout might define its 13th year. Related Reading A Milestone That Shows How Far Dogecoin Has…