Prediction markets rapidly repriced the odds of US escalation in the Iran conflict, offering a real-time signal of geopolitical risk for traders. Odds on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi shifted in real time as President Donald Trump paired new threats with signals of possible negotiations on Sunday, while Bitcoin (BTC) rose more than 3.5% on Monday. Crypto prediction markets are no longer a sideshow during periods of geopolitical tension, with professional desks increasingly using them to gauge macro risk, according to Sygnum Bank chief investment officer Fabian Dori. …
Tag: Markets
Bitcoin has plunged, but this analyst thinks it could hit $1,000,000
▶ Coinbase Website: Coinbase.com ▶ CEX Website: cex.io Asking for a Trend anchor, Josh Lipton breaks down the latest market news for February 2, 2026. Stocks rose to start February trading while bitcoin and gold remained volatile. Market and Data reporter Jared Blikre breaks down the latest market trends for February 2, 2026. Elon Musk’s SpaceX has confirmed it has acquired another one of Musk’s companies, xAI. For more episodes of Asking for a Trend, please visit: #youtube #stocks #SpaceX #AI #investing About Yahoo Finance: Yahoo Finance provides free stock…
Risk off Markets and Centralization Debates — Week in Review – Op-Ed Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin risks dip below $59K as PlanB flags 200-week MA; institutions dominate flows. Google white paper claims 20x quantum gain, raising risks for Bitcoin and Ethereum cryptography. $260M-$285M Drift Protocol exploit signals rising DeFi hacks as Circle response questioned. Markets Wobble as Oil Shock Looms, Institutions Tighten Grip on Crypto, and Quantum Risks Enter the Frame Bitcoin and Ethereum both traded sideways on the week, while Solana led most of the altcoin market down another leg. Stock indices made a surprise move to the upside, with the S&P500,…
Bitcoin Put Volume Outpaces Calls 54.87% to 45.13% – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin futures open interest across all exchanges fell to $46.94B, with Binance and CME leading at $8.09B and $7.24B. Put volume on Deribit outpaced calls 54.87% to 45.13% in 24 hours, signaling short-term defensive trader positioning. Deribit max pain for the April 24 expiry sits near $70K, roughly $3,000 above BTC’s current $66,810 spot price. Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Falls to $46.94B Total bitcoin futures open interest (OI) across all exchanges stands at 703,140 BTC, equivalent to $46.94 billion, according to Coinglass futures stats. That figure has pulled…
Bitcoin Shows Little Conviction as Signals Skew Negative – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin held near $66,992 on April 5, 2026; weak momentum signals limit upside. Bitcoin trades below 10–200 MAs; bearish structure pressures broader crypto sentiment. Bitcoin range $65.5K–$69.5K holds; breakout or breakdown likely next move. Bitcoin Chart Outlook On the daily chart, bitcoin continues to compress within a broad sideways structure, holding above support near $66,500 while failing to challenge resistance closer to $74,500. The formation of a lower high near the mid-$70,000s reinforces a mild bearish tilt, though not an outright trend reversal. Price remains pinned in the…
Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts – Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: Fed funds futures on CME show a 99.5% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. WTI crude topping $110 per barrel after Trump’s April speech pushed Polymarket’s 0-cuts odds to 36% for all of 2026. The next major test arrives June 17, when markets price a 96.7% chance the Fed keeps borrowing costs unchanged again. Fed Faces Market Consensus: No Cuts, No Rush to Ease As of this weekend, Fed funds futures tracked by the CME Fedwatch Tool now show a 99.5%…
Bitcoin Consolidates Under Pressure at $67K With Bearish Undertone Intact – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin held steady around $67K on April 4, 2026; range-bound trade signals weak momentum ahead. Market data shows RSI 42, MACD −894; pressure limits upside near $69,000. The day’s session logged $45.2B volume; focus shifts to $65,900 support test next. Bitcoin Chart Outlook Price action on bitcoin‘s daily chart continues to reflect a market lacking conviction, with BTC holding below key resistance near $69,000 and firmly beneath major trend-defining levels. The broader structure remains a consolidation within a longer-term downtrend, characterized by lower highs and repeated rejection near…
Prediction Markets Are Testing Legal Limits in Strict Asian Markets
Prediction markets are pushing into Asia’s largest economies, even as local gambling laws place strict limits on betting activities. Asia represents a combination of scale, active retail participation and limited local alternatives, making it too large to ignore despite regulatory risks. That’s a similar pattern seen in crypto, where technology moved faster than regulation and licensing frameworks, prompting exchanges to enter markets before clear rules were in place. Like many startups, the industry’s heavyweights adopted the “better to ask for forgiveness than permission” approach to scale. Polymarket, one of the…
Bitcoin Hovers Near $67,000 Amid US Political Turmoil and Soaring Energy Prices – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News
Political Turbulence Overshadows Conflict Bitcoin traded mostly flat on Friday as market attention pivoted from Middle Eastern hostilities toward significant upheaval in U.S. domestic politics. After opening the April 3 session just below $67,000, the top cryptocurrency dipped to $66,345 before rallying to an intraday high of $67,195. Bitcoin mirrored this volatility throughout the day, declining to $66,700 and testing the $67,000 threshold again before settling near $66,500. As of 1 p.m. EDT, bitcoin was challenging the $67,000 mark for the third time. The cryptocurrency’s relative stability kept its market…
Bitcoin ETFs Add $9 Million While Ether Sees $71 Million Exit – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News
Ether Outflows Deepen as Bitcoin Ends Short Week Positive The week closed quietly, but not without contrast. As markets prepared for the Easter break, flows revealed a split narrative across crypto ETFs. Bitcoin ETFs returned to positive territory with a modest $8.99 million inflow, enough to end the shortened week on a steadier note. The gains were led by Fidelity’s FBTC, which drew $7.29 million, alongside Vaneck’s HODL with $4.74 million in inflows. There was some pressure. Blackrock’s IBIT recorded a $3.04 million outflow, but it was not enough to…