US PPI Gives Bitcoin Bulls a New Headache Into the Monthly Close

Hotter US PPI inflation data boosted precious metals but punished Bitcoin bulls, with BTC price downside nearing 3% on the day.

Bitcoin (BTC) slid further into Fridayโ€™s Wall Street open as US inflation data overshot expectations.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin price downside strengthens as US inflation data comes in hot.

  • Gold and silver benefit from a risk-off response to January PPI data.

  • Bitcoin price expectations face the prospect of a rocky monthly candle close.

Bitcoin under pressure after hot US PPI print

Data from TradingView showed daily BTC price downside nearing 2.5% on Bitstamp, while gold eyed its highest levels since late January.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The January print of the Producer Price Index (PPI) came in markedly above expectations at 0.5% month-on-month versus an anticipated 0.3%, per data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Core PPI fared even worse at 0.8% month-on-month instead of 0.3%.

US PPI one-month % change. Source: BLS

โ€œThe January increase in prices for final demand can be traced to a 0.8-percent advance in the index for final demand services. In contrast, prices for final demand goods declined 0.3 percent,โ€ an official statement added.

With US inflation creeping higher more quickly than markets assumed, risk-asset pressure increased, while safe havens outperformed.

Gold passed $5,200 per ounce, while silver revisited $92 to hit its highest levels since Jan. 30.

XAU/USD one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Expectations for interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve at its March meeting fell below 4%, according to the latest readings from CME Groupโ€™s FedWatch Tool.

Fed target rate probabilities for March FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

BTC price fears over โ€œmassive collapseโ€

With the monthly close in focus, Bitcoin market participants remained on edge.

Related: Hodlers have โ€˜given upโ€™ at $65K: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

Crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaรซl van de Poppe warned of a possible rerun of events from early February, where BTC/USD put in 15-month lows near $59,000.

โ€œPretty crucial area for me to hold on to. I’d highly favor that $BTC finds a higher low at $65k,โ€ he wrote in his latest analysis on X.ย 

โ€œHowever, last day of the month; remember last month? A massive collapse on the markets. Let’s see what it brings: holding $65K opens up the scenario to run up from here.โ€

BTC/USDT 12-hour chart. Source: Michaรซl van de Poppe/X

Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on key resistance levels for bulls to reclaim, notably the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) and old all-time highs around $69,000.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD roughly matched February 2025 in terms of performance, with losses nearing 17% month-to-date.

The pair prepared its fifth consecutive month of losses, a phenomenon absent from the charts since 2018, data from CoinGlass confirms.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass