Will Bitcoin price crack $22K? Dollar weakness, Bank of Japan easing boost hopes

Bitcoin (BTC) faced a potentially volatile day on Jan. 18, with multiple macro triggers beginning to unsettle the outlook.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

BoJ refuses to hike

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD holding firm above $21,000 on the day.

The pair remained cool amid news from Japan, where the central bank โ€” the Bank of Japan (BoJ) โ€” had decided to keep an ultra-easy policy in place, defying expectations of an interest rate hike.

In so doing, both the yen and U.S. dollar took a hit, the latest chapter in a saga being keenly watched by crypto commentators.

“In keeping its key rate and yield curve control policy unchanged at today’s meeting, the Bank of Japan probably wanted to convey a message to the market; don’t fight the BoJ,” ING reacted in a dedicated response piece.

Cointelegraph contributor Michaรซl van de Poppe focused on a fresh decline in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) following the news.

โ€œAnother bearish retest taking place on the DXY, in which this one starts to drop substantially, maybe even due to the announcements from the BoJ earlier today,โ€ he summarized.

In the event, DXY bounced at 101.9, not quite retesting the seven-month lows achieved on Jan. 16.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

Van de Poppe also noted upcoming data due from the U.S. later in the form of the Producer Price Index (PPI) for December 2022.

โ€œIn a few hours we’ll get PPI numbers and Retail Sales,โ€ he added.

โ€œMight be some moving around after.โ€

BTC whale bidding raises questions

On Bitcoin markets, meanwhile, suspicion continued to swirl around activity on the Binance order book as large-volume traders posted more and more bid liquidity.

Related:ย Bitcoin hits new post-FTX high as analysis warns move โ€˜choreographedโ€™

On-chain analytics resource Material Indicators argued that a single entity was potentially moving bids higher, helping buoy BTC/USD at two-month highs.

โ€œSpeculating that it could be the same whale using the $4M to insulate their $22M and give enough time to rug the $22M if the $4M gets hit. Just a theory. Time will tell,โ€ one of multiple Twitter posts on Jan. 17 stated.

A subsequent tweet nonetheless voiced concern over โ€œhow long they can keep this up,โ€ implying a corrective move could still present on Bitcoin.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

The latest snapshot of the Binance order book showed the strongest resistance clustered at $22,000.

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