XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase

XRP (XRP) has dropped nearly 40% since hitting its multi-year high of $3.40 three months ago.

Still, its ability to hold above key technical support levels, combined with a potentially market-shifting derivatives listing, has prompted some analysts to maintain a bullish outlook for the months ahead.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Coinbase XRP futures may launch on April 21

From a fundamental perspective, XRP may receive a boost from the anticipated launch of XRP futures contracts on the Coinbase Derivatives platform, scheduled for April 21 under the US Commodity Futures Trading Commissionโ€™s (CFTC) oversight.

Coinbase, XRP, Markets, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis
Source: X

This development may inject fresh liquidity and institutional interest into the market, helping catalyze the technical breakouts projected above.

XRP price chart painting Wyckoff reaccumulation

XRPโ€™s ongoing consolidation phase resembles a classic Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern, according to technical analyst Charting Guy.

The Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern is a mid-cycle structure that often precedes the next leg of a broader uptrend. It suggests that smart money is absorbing supply during the cooldown, setting the stage for a potential breakout.

XRP established support and began consolidating in late 2024, marking Phases A and B of the Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern. In early April 2025, the price formed a โ€œSpringโ€ followed by a successful โ€œTest,โ€ signaling seller exhaustion.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView/Charting Guy

As of April 21, XRP is attempting to break above the descending โ€œCreekโ€ trendline.

A breakout would confirm a โ€œJump Across The Creekโ€ (JATC) and entry into Phase D. If confirmed, XRP could enter Phase E and rally 70% toward $3.55 in the coming weeks, a level aligning with the patternโ€™s Last Point of Support (LPS).

XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

A Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from $3.55-swing-high to $0.14-swing-low presents $5.65 as the upside target for June if XRP price breaks above $3.55.

Falling wedge aligns with XRPโ€™s bullish outlook

The upside outlook aligns with XRPโ€™s prevailing falling wedge pattern, as spotted by chartist โ€œJobcfxโ€ on X.

Notably, the bullish reversal structure has been narrowing since February 2025. A breakout above the wedgeโ€™s upper trendline, currently around the $2.20-2.40 area, would signal the start of a new rally.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Falling wedge breakouts typically target a move equal to the patternโ€™s maximum height.

In XRPโ€™s case, if it breaks above $2.20, the projected upside target for May lands near $4.00, aligning with the Wyckoff reaccumulationโ€™s Phase E breakout zone.

Related: XRP price analysts project $10 next, โ€˜optimisticโ€™ target of $20

Interestingly, Bitcoin (BTC) is also forming a falling wedge pattern on its chart. If confirmed, a bullish breakout in Bitcoin could act as a catalyst for the altcoin market, potentially accelerating XRPโ€™s upward momentum as well.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.