Bitcoin price pattern points to a $145k surge as exchange outflows rise

Bitcoin price remained in a tight range on May 4, but the ongoing demand and supply dynamics point to an eventual surge to a new all-time high.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $104,000 on Wednesday, just 5.25% below its all-time high of $109,300. It has jumped nearly 40% from its lowest point in April.

The coin continues to see high demand, mostly from institutional investors. SoSoValue data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs have added over $1.95 billion in inflows this year, bringing total inflows since inception to $41 billion.

Companies are also continuing their accumulation. Strategy spent $1.34 billion acquiring Bitcoin last week, bringing its total holdings to nearly $60 billion. Its market cap has now surged to over $115 billion.

Semler Scientific now holds 3,808 Bitcoins valued at $387 million, while Tether has also been accumulating โ€” bringing total holdings by Twenty One to 36,312 coins. More companies are likely to continue buying Bitcoin after witnessing Strategyโ€™s success.

Meanwhile, Bitcoinโ€™s supply isnโ€™t growing as fast, with mining difficulty and hash rate hitting record highs. Its supply on exchanges has dropped to a six-year low, continuing a trend that began in 2021. These dynamics will likely help support Bitcoinโ€™s price in the long term.

Additionally, analysts have upgraded their stock forecasts following the truce between the US and China. Goldman Sachs expects the S&P 500 Index to rise to 6,500 as it lowers its recession odds from 45% to 35%. Such a move would likely benefit Bitcoin and other altcoins due to their correlation with equities.

Bitcoin price technical analysis

BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily chart shows that Bitcoin is gradually forming a cup-and-handle pattern, with the upper boundary at $108,200. A C&H pattern is a popular continuation signal in technical analysis.

This particular pattern has a depth of about 33%. Measuring the same distance from the cupโ€™s upper side suggests a potential rally to $145,000. The bullish outlook will be confirmed once the BTC price breaks above the cupโ€™s upper boundary.

On the flip side, a drop below the 100-day moving average at $91,340 would invalidate the bullish outlook.

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