BTC Price Weakness Contrasts With a $135,000 Target as Bitcoin Bulls Snatch at Moving Averages

Key points:

  • Bitcoin gives up pre-Wall Street gains as range-bound BTC price action stays in place.

  • A potentially record-breaking TradFi options expiry event threatens curveball volatility across risk assets.

  • Bitcoin continues to hold key support needed for a run at $135,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) reversed earlier gains after the June 20 Wall Street open as a major expiry event brought a โ€œbig dayโ€ for US equities.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cryptox/TradingView

Bitcoin bulls struggle at key moving averages

Data from Cryptox Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price momentum stalling after a trip to $106,500.

BTC/USD thus fluctuated around its 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at 105,800, a level highlighted by Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators.

That level coincided with the 10-day SMA, another reclaim attempt in progress, as flagged by popular trader Matthew Hyland.

โ€œMarket is still positioned short including more shorts loading up here,โ€ fellow trader Skew continued during the trip past $106,000.

โ€œNotable ask depth here on orderbooks so this means spot flow is pretty dominant & important today.โ€

BTC order book data. Source: Skew/X

With Bitcoin still stuck in a narrow intraday range, a potential volatility catalyst came in the form of an unusually large TradFi expiry event.

โ€œBrace for heightened market volatility today: $6.8 trillion worth of options on stock indexes, ETFs, equity index futures, and individual stocks are set to expire during todayโ€™s trading session,โ€ trading resource The Kobeissi Letter told X followers ahead of what it called a โ€œbig day.โ€ย 

โ€œThis is potentially the biggest โ€˜triple witchingโ€™ OpEx on record, according to SpotGamma estimates. It will also be the first monthly post-holiday OpEx in at least 25 years.โ€

Options expiry data. Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X

$135,000 BTC price target still โ€œon the tableโ€

Adopting a longer-term view, trading and analytics account Titan of Crypto saw reason for optimism based on weeks of support retention.

Related: Hereโ€™s when Bitcoin analysts expect new BTC price volatility

Uploading the weekly chart to X, Titan of Crypto argued that a $135,000 BTC price target remained โ€œon the table.โ€

โ€œBTC broke out of a right-angled descending broadening wedge, and the structure remains valid,โ€ part of the accompanying commentaryย summarized.

BTC/USDT 1-week chart. Source: Titan of Crypto/X

Cryptox recently reported on various bullish price forecasts, including $140,000 and higher.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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