Bitcoin Primed for Short Squeeze as Weekly Close Nears

Key points:

  • Bitcoin market analysis sees a squeeze toward $114,000 in time for the weekly close.

  • Traders favor a BTC price rebound into next week.

  • The Bitcoin bull market uptrend can remain intact despite the $19 billion liquidation cascade.

Bitcoin (BTC) centered on $112,000 into Sundayโ€™s weekly candle close as traders hoped for a BTC price comeback next.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin liquidation โ€œfishingโ€ due into weekly close

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed volatility cooling after the shock of a $19 billion crypto liquidation event.

BTC/USD failed to deliver a major recovery, but market participants saw next week offering stronger performance.

โ€œCan see case of a relief bounce going into weekly open / futures open,โ€ trader Skew wrote in his latest commentary on X.

โ€œBoth always bring important flows from the aspect of a macro backdrop as we currently have. Plus thin market atm so careful with margin positions especially in alts.โ€

Fellow trader HTL-NL hinted that while the market remained unpredictable, the risk of a serious crash was low.

โ€œYou never know what the W close and next week will bring of course, especially since legacy barely had time to respond to Trump,โ€ he told X followers.ย 

โ€œHowever, I am not overly worried. Everything was poised for a correction anyways, but it all got amplified and we had a system break down.โ€

BTC/USD one-day chart with RSI, Stochastic RSI data. Source: HTL-NL/X

Trading resource TheKingfisher eyed a potential liquidity grab centered around the $114,000 area, with traders heavily short on BTC.

โ€œWeekends are for $BTC range liquidations fishing,โ€ it wrote on the day alongside proprietary market data.

BTC/USDT 15-minute chart with exchange order-book liquidity data. Source: TheKingfisher/X

Analyst on BTC bull market: โ€œBearish things can happenโ€

Caleb Franzen, creator of financial research resource Cubic Analytics, was even more bullish.

Related: Bitcoinโ€™s โ€˜macro whiplash,โ€™ Shuffle suffers data breach: Hodlerโ€™s Digest, Oct. 5 โ€“ 11

In his latest Substack post, he eyed Bitcoinโ€™s interaction with its simple (SMA) and exponential (EMA) 200-day moving average.

โ€œMaybe prices fall further from here,โ€ he argued.ย 

โ€œSimilar to the consolidations that occurred in August-September 2023, July – September 2024, and February – April 2025, it would be completely normal for a brief decline below the 200-day MA cloud before a reclaim and trend continuation to new highs.โ€

BTC/USD one-day chart with 200SMA, 200EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Despite that, BTC/USD could still print a higher low on daily timeframes โ€” something that Franzen said would leave the uptrend intact.

โ€œIf uptrends are just the production of higher highs & higher lows, then nothing about this consolidation has invalidated the uptrend,โ€ he added.

โ€œWhile we must accept that bearish things can happen during uptrends, as this past week proved, itโ€™s also vital to accept that being bearish during an uptrend is a great way to lose money and/or underperform.โ€

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Substack

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.