A major Bitcoin short squeeze could happen if BTC price volatility returns

Key points:

  • Bitcoin is working on completing a โ€œsuccessfulโ€ support retest as trader bets increase prior to the weekly candle close.

  • BTC price volatility is expected as liquidity analysis shows that conditions favor a significant short squeeze.

  • $100,000 still remains a likely target in the event of a fresh price dip.

Bitcoin (BTC) held $105,500 toward the June 8 weekly close amid hopes that the BTC price correction was over.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin liquidation risk rises as price coils at $105,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD cementing its rebound after a trip to $100,500 on June 5.

Now almost back at its weekly open level, Bitcoin again inspired traders to bet on upside continuation and resumption of the bull run.

โ€œOn the Daily timeframe, Bitcoin is showcasing signs of breaking its two-week Downtrend (light blue) while also turning it into support earlier today,โ€ popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital told X followers while uploading a chart with key levels.

โ€œDaily Closing & retesting ~$106600 (black) would be even better to enable trend continuation.โ€

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

BTC price action had already achieved a daily close above its 10-day simple moving average (SMA) โ€” something that fellow trader SuperBro had said was a prerequisite to โ€œinvalidate the bear case.โ€

Trader Cas Abbe meanwhile looked to order book liquidity for cues over price direction.ย 

This was building both above and below spot price, leading Abbe to predict a magnet-style move to โ€œgrabโ€ it.

โ€œBTC liquidation cluster is now signalling an upside move,โ€ he summarized on X.ย 

โ€œIf BTC pumps 10% from here, $15.11 billion in shorts will get liquidated. Meanwhile a 10% downside move will liquidate $9.58 billion in longs.โ€

Bitcoin exchange liquidation heatmap. Source: Cas Abbe/X

Abbe noted that negative funding rates pointed to โ€œbig short positionsโ€ appearing over the weekend.

โ€œI think BTC big move is coming next week, possibly pushing it above $109K-$110K,โ€ he concluded.

$104,400 now key weekly close level

Some saw the potential for further support retests first.

Related: Bitcoin nears $105K as Donald Trump demands ‘full point’ Fed rate cut

Updating X followers on his market forecast, popular trader CrypNuevo saw the logical place to build long BTC positions at $100,000.

โ€œ100k is the strongest psychological support so, as explained on Sunday, it’s the area where I’m building some longs with easy invalidation below it,โ€ he wrote, referring to his previous aim of tagging the $100,000 mark.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: Cas Abbe/X

Rekt Capital meanwhile described the support retest after Mayโ€™s all-time highs on weekly timeframes as โ€œsuccessful.โ€

โ€œCan Bitcoin successfully confirm this retest with a Weekly Close above $104400 for what would be a 4th week in a row?โ€ he queried.

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.