Bernstein Sets $150k Bitcoin Target As ETF Inflows Surpass $1.6B

Strategy, the Michael Saylor-led company that has made Bitcoin accumulation its core business, bought $76.6 million worth of crypto last week, lifting its total holdings to 762,099 BTC โ€” roughly 3.5% of the entire Bitcoin supply.

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Wall Street brokerage Bernstein used that move as a springboard to reaffirm one of the boldest price calls on the market: Bitcoin hitting $150,000 before the year is out.

Institutional Money Is Moving

Bernstein senior analyst Gautam Chhugani delivered the outlook in a note to clients Monday, saying BTC has found its price floor after months of decline.

The call, if correct, would mean the drop to around $60,000 in early February was the lowest point in the current downturn โ€” and that everything from here points upward.

Bitcoin was trading past $71,000 at the time of the report, meaning the $150,000 target represents a more than 110% gain from current levels.

Chhugani pointed to two forces he believes will push the price there: growing inflows into BTC spot exchange-traded funds and rising corporate demand.

The numbers backing that claim are hard to ignore. Bitcoin spot ETFs pulled in $167 million in a single day this week โ€” their first positive day in four sessions โ€” and have attracted $1.6 billion in net inflows since March began.

The market got a brief lift earlier in the week after reports that US President Donald Trump had ordered a five-day halt in strikes on Iran. Bitcoin climbed to $71,750 on Monday before easing back.

BTCUSD now trading at $71,480. Chart: TradingView

Corporate Buyers Keep Piling In

Beyond Strategy, institutional interest is broadening. Australiaโ€™s pension fund Hostplus announced plans to offer clients Bitcoin exposure through self-directed portfolios.

Morgan Stanley, one of the biggest names in global banking, has updated its SEC filing for a US Bitcoin spot ETF, a sign the product could be closer to launching than previously expected.

Bernstein described Strategy as a high-beta play on Bitcoin โ€” meaning its stock tends to move sharply in the same direction as Bitcoin, only more so. Despite MSTR shares falling 50% from their all-time high, Chhugani set a price target of $450 for the stock, betting the companyโ€™s large Bitcoin balance sheet will pay off as prices recover.

Not Everyone Agrees The Bottom Is In

Bernsteinโ€™s optimism is not shared across the board. Veteran chart analyst Ali Martinez laid out a scenario where Bitcoin drops as far as $41,500 by mid-October 2026 before any meaningful recovery begins.

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Standard Chartered Bank has repeatedly warned that Bitcoin could revisit $50,000 first, citing weak economic conditions and limited demand. The bank also cut its own 2026 Bitcoin forecast from $150,000 to $100,000.

The split between analysts reflects how uncertain this market remains. Bitcoin has never matched the scale of correction seen in past bear markets if the February low holds โ€” that would make this one of the shallower pullbacks from an all-time high in the assetโ€™s history.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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