Bitcoin $1B daily realized profits signal ‘late-stage bull market’

Key points:

  • Bitcoin investors are making the most of the highest price levels in several months by cashing out profits.

  • These are averaging $1 billion per day, leading to concerns that the market comeback may stall or even reverse.

  • Institutional participation has not led to a change in mindset, CryptoQuant says.

Bitcoin (BTC) risks a โ€œlocal top or sharp correctionโ€ if current levels of profit-taking continue, new research warns.

In a โ€œQuicktakeโ€ blog post on May 8, onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant flagged elevated realized profits among BTC investors.

BTC profit-taking spikes to January highs

Bitcoin realized profits have spiked to multimonth highs this week as BTC/USD reached close to $98,000.

For CryptoQuant, the market is becoming comparable to late 2024, when the pair broke through old all-time highs and hit $100,000 for the first time.

โ€œEven after positive price action after March-April drop in 2025, profit taking is still aggressive. Maybe not like November-December 2024 but still high,โ€ contributor Kripto Mevsimi wrote.

โ€œThis is historically consistent with late-stage bull market behavior โ€” where profit-taking dominates, even as price continues to rise.โ€

Bitcoin net realized profit and loss. Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant data puts the current 7-day moving average realized profit across the hodler spectrum at approximately $1 billion per day.

โ€œIf we look back at similar cycles (e.g. 2021), this phase often preceded a local top or sharp correction, especially when profit-taking stayed high and continuous,โ€ it continued.

No hiding from Bitcoin โ€œinvestor psychologyโ€

As Cointelegraph reported, some market commentators have argued that the Bitcoin investment landscape has fundamentally changed thanks to increased institutional participation.

Related: Bitcoin pushes for $98K as 2025 Fed rate cut odds flip ‘pessimistic’

Chief among the new players are the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the largest of which, BlackRockโ€™s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), has seen net inflows every day for more than two weeks.

Despite this, Kripto Mevsimi contends that underlying reactions to BTC price changes remain the same.

โ€œSince spot ETFs launched in January 2024, market structure has changed โ€” but investor psychology hasnโ€™t,โ€ he summarized.

Source: Farside Investors

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.