Bitcoin bull market ‘almost over?’ Traders split over BTC price at $105K

Key points:

  • BTC price action retargets $105,000 after the Wall Street open, rising 2.5% from the dayโ€™s lows.

  • Volatility continues, leading market participants to varying conclusions over what will happen to BTC/USD next.

  • Perspectives include the Bitcoin bull market being in its final stages.

Bitcoin (BTC) sought a rebound from a 4% dive at the May 19 Wall Street open as traders diverged on bull market strength.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

$106,000 becomes BTC price zone to watch

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD passing $104,500, up 2.5% from the dayโ€™s low.

The pair had seen flash volatility around the weekly close, which although the highest ever recorded swiftly saw bulls lose control.

Now, opinions differed about when, or if, new all-time highs would come.

โ€œThis is exactly what Bitcoin needs to be doing,โ€ an optimistic Rekt Capital wrote in part of his latest X analysis.

โ€œNeeds to hold ~$104400 as support to position itself for a successful post-breakout retest.โ€

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Popular trader Daan Crypto Trades flagged $102,000 and $106,000 as the levels to watch above and below spot price.

โ€œThese mark the local range low and high and price has been trading within these for most of the last 1-2 weeks,โ€ he explained in part of his own X post.ย 

โ€œKeep an eye out for a clean break below either of these. So far, price has not sustained above or below for more than a day.โ€

BTC/USDT perpetual contract 4-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

The area around $106,000 was also on the radar for onchain analytics firm Glassnode.

โ€œBTC’s price surge stalled just below $106.6K – a level with 31K $BTC held at that cost basis,โ€ it observed on the day.ย 

โ€œThis supply cluster originated on Dec 16 and remains unshaken. Holders havenโ€™t redistributed, nor averaged down – making $106.6K an important level to watch in the short term.โ€

BTC supply cost basis heatmap. Source: Glassnode/X

Trader: โ€œToo many bearish signs to ignoreโ€ on Bitcoin

A renewed warning meanwhile came from fellow trader Roman, who considered weekly timeframes to be no longer in bullsโ€™ favor.

Related: $107K fakeout or new all-time highs? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

โ€œNot a good close as we rejected resistance, created more bearish divergences, and have pumped with low volume. Stoch RSI has also topped,โ€ he summarized.ย 

โ€œToo many bearish signs to ignore, and itโ€™s why Iโ€™ve been continuously saying the bull run is likely almost over.โ€

BTC/USD 1-day chart with 1-week stoch RSI data. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Roman referred to the stochastic relative strength index (RSI) indicator, a trend strength tool now firmly in โ€œoverboughtโ€ territory.

As Cointelegraph reported, various short-term BTC price predictions have surfaced in recent days, including an โ€œearly weekโ€ target of $116,000 along with a potential retracement toward $90,000.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.