Bitcoin Bull Score Index Rebound Fails to Quash 2022 Bear Market Fears

Bitcoin (BTC) price metrics are showing relief this month, but the risk of repeating the 2022 bear market remains.

Key points:

  • Bitcoinโ€™s Bull Score Index combined price metric reaches its highest levels since October last year.

  • The relief may be short-lived, analysis warns, pointing to the 2022 bear market.

  • Crypto sentiment reaches its most bullish since January, per the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.

Bitcoin Bull Score Index ditches โ€œbearishโ€ zone

New data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant place the spotlight on the Bitcoin Bull Score Index (BSI).

Bitcoin has finally entered โ€œneutralโ€ territory with its push to $78,000, the latest BSI data confirms, with the Index climbing to its highest since October 2025.

BSI incorporates nine price metrics to give an overall impression of performance. Since the bear market began, it has been sharply bearish โ€”ย just as in the early stages of the previous bear market four years ago.

โ€œFirst time in this bear market that the Bull Score Index enters neutral zone (50),โ€ CryptoQuant contributor Julio Moreno noted in an X post on Wednesday.

Bitcoin Bull Score Index. Source: CryptoQuant

Moreno cautioned that despite the pressure being off for now, BSI also had a brief cooling-off period before the 2022 bear market continued.

โ€œIn March 2022, the Bull Score entered neutral territory for about a week, and then the price resumed its decline,โ€ he added.

Should history repeat, attention will be on the Indexโ€™s performance into the April monthly close, as BTC/USD attempts to break out of a multi-month range.

Examining BSI readings last week, with price around $74,000, CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain described a โ€œbalance between supply and demand forces.โ€

โ€œOn the other hand, the current BSI reading shows that the market is still far from the area of strong optimism (above 60), which typically indicates strong bullish conditions, while also remaining above the zone of extreme pessimism (clearly below 40),โ€ they wrote in a โ€œQuickTakeโ€ blog post.ย 

โ€œThis places the market in a transitional phase, as investors await new catalysts to determine the next direction.โ€

Sentiment edges to most bullish since January

Other signs of a broader market recovery come from crypto trader sentiment.

Related: BTC price due new highs: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a classic lagging indicator that uses a basket of factors to reflect the mood among investors, conditions are at their least negative since mid-January.

Fear & Greed measured 32/100 on Wednesday โ€”ย still within its โ€œfearโ€ zone while like BSI also approaching the โ€œneutralโ€ bracket.

The Index value has nearly tripled in a little over a week.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me