Bitcoin Price Eyes $87K Dip Into FOMC Week

Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $88,000 into Sundayโ€™s weekly close as traders eyed weakness into a major US macro event.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin sees snap volatility into the weekly close, dipping close to $87,000.

  • Traders expect weaker BTC price action into the Fed interest-rate decision.

  • Bulls need to keep hold of $86,000, says analysis.

BTC price wobbles as weekly candle completes

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price volatility returning, with BTC/USD losing $2,000 over two hourly candles.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The move ended an uneventful weekend, and opened the door to a potential new โ€œgapโ€ forming on CME Groupโ€™s Bitcoin futures markets. As Cointelegraph reported, price tends to โ€œfillโ€ such gaps quickly once the new macro trading week begins.

โ€œIn 6 months, we have filled every single CME gap,โ€ trader Killa noted in part of commentary on X.

BTC/USD chart with CME futures gap target. Source: Killa/X

In a separate post, Killa added that Mondays often formed the basis for price action for the rest of the week.

โ€œMondays are typically when pivot highs and lows form with weekend price action being a deciding factor,โ€ he explained.ย 

โ€œIf the weekend doesnโ€™t pump, it increases the probability of a pivot low forming on Monday. If we do get a weekend pump, it increases the chances of Monday forming a pivot high.โ€

BTC/USD chart with Mondays highlighted. Source: Killa/X

FOMC bets focus on Fed cut

Market participants meanwhile were broadly focused on the key macroeconomic topic of the week: the US Federal Reserveโ€™s decision on interest-rate changes.

Related: Bitcoin profit metric eyes 2-year lows in ‘complete reset:’ BTC analysis

Markets continued to expect a 0.25% cut result from Wednesdayโ€™s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), data from CME Groupโ€™s FedWatch Tool confirmed.

โ€œThe rate call is easily the #1 event of the week – liquidity, risk appetite and positioning all hinge on it. We also get a delayed JOLTS report worth watching,โ€ private investment manager Peter Tarr wrote on the topic at the weekend.ย 

โ€œMost expect a 25 bps cut.โ€

Fed target rate probabilities for Dec. 10 FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

Bitcoin often sees downward pressure into FOMC announcements, which can spark significant volatility as markets assess Fed officialsโ€™ language for hints over future policy changes.

Commenting, crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaรซl van de Poppe suggested that FOMC nerves could spark a retreat to $87,000.

โ€œAfter that, bounce back up, swiftly, in which the uptrend is confirmed for Bitcoin and it’s ready to break $92K and therefore the run towards $100K in the coming 1-2 weeks as the FED is reducing QT, doing rate cuts and expanding the money supply to increase the business cycle,โ€ he told X followers.

Van de Poppe put $86,000 as bullsโ€™ line in the sand.

BTC/USDT four-hour chart with volume, RSI data. Source: Michaรซl van de Poppe/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.