Bitcoin ready for new rally as 80% of supply is in profit

While long-term investors appear unaffected by the surge, the rally sets the foundation for a โ€˜resumption of the 2023 uptrend,โ€™ analysts say

Bitcoin (BTC) volatility explosion on Oct. 24 has set the market ready for a new rally as a โ€œmeaningful proportion of supply and investors now find themselves above the average break-even price,โ€ Glassnode says.

In a research report on Oct. 24, analysts at the blockchain analytics firm noted that over 80% of Bitcoin supply is now in profit as the market is approaching year-to-date highs.

Bitcoin supply in profit | Source: Glassnode

However, long-term holders (LTH) seem unaffected by this weekโ€™s rally as almost 30% of their supply is โ€œheld at a loss,โ€ analysts say.

The current state of affairs for Bitcoin holders is similar to late 2015 and early 2019 and the March 2020 bottom, suggesting that the current cohort โ€œmay well be a more hardened and firm-handedโ€ compared to prior cycles, Glassnode added.

โ€œA meaningful proportion of supply and investors now find themselves above the average break-even price, located around $28k. This sets the foundation for a resumption of the 2023 uptrend.โ€

Glassnode

In the meantime, analysts at Bitfinex say that on-chain metrics, such as the Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB), indicate further support for sustained volatility for Bitcoin in the coming months. As Bitcoin rapidly surpassed the $34,000 mark, the crypto market is now more dependent on major news narratives than ever before, analysts say.

Bitcoin has reached new yearly highs shortly after reports surfaced that BlackRockโ€™s iShares Bitcoin Trust has been listed on the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) amid staunch demand for an exchange-traded fund within the crypto industry and broader financial markets.


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