Bitcoin regains $25K amid hope record China easing will boost BTC price

Bitcoin (BTC) spent another day tackling $25,000 on Feb. 20 as analysts continued to warn over market manipulation.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitcoin buoyed by “Notorious B.I.D.”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD making up losses from around the weekly close to approach the $25,000 mark again at the time of writing.

Bulls remained unable to spark a resistance-support flip, however, and whale activity on exchanges kept suspicions high.

In its latest update, monitoring resource Material Indicators revealed that large-volume traders were artificially โ€œthinningโ€ resistance overhead, making it more likely that BTC/USD would move higher.

Co-founder Keith Alan referenced a wall of bid liquidity buoying spot price, something he called the โ€œNotorious B.I.D.โ€

โ€œMultiple rejections from $25k correlates perfectly with BTC macro TA which is a valid reason to TP at these levels, but Notorious B.I.D. is still trying to push price up,โ€ a tweet stated.

โ€œBased on the history, and the potential to rip through upside illiquidity, I’m still scalping longs.โ€

Material Indicators added that โ€œFrom a TA perspective this should be a local top, but Notorious B.I.D. is still running the binance order book.โ€

โ€œThey are distributing BTC ask liquidity out of the $25k – $25.5k range into the active trading zone so resistance is thinning,โ€ part of comments additionally read.

A potential plan among such traders could be to spark a large price run, causing retail investors to pile in or go long, then get stuck as whales distribute BTC to the market at higher levels.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Keith Alan/ Twitter

China could boost “liquidity junkie” crypto

With United States markets closed for a holiday, meanwhile, one analyst turned to longer-term implications of moves from China.

Related:ย A โ€˜snap backโ€™ to $20K? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

In addition to potentially allowing Hong Kong retail investors access to previously-banned crypto, the Chinese central bank injected a record $92 billion of liquidity into the economyย on Feb. 17.

โ€œWhile most analysts are focused on how the Fed tightening will reprice risk assets this cycle, they’re failing to consider the scale of easing in the east,โ€ popular Twitter account Tedtalksmacro argued in a thread.

It explained that unlike in the U.S., where the Fed is withdrawing liquidity via quantitative tightening (QT), China is doing the opposite. In 2020 under the Fedโ€™s COVID-19 quantitative easing (QE), risk assets including crypto saw an eighteen-month bull run.

โ€œCrypto is not tied to any particular economy or entity, but rather is a liquidity junkie – it longs for the risk-hungry investor to get cash and bet on the fastest horse. That’s set to be exactly what will happen this year in China,โ€ the thread continued.

As Cointelegraph reported, U.S. already liquidity forms a major talking point when it comes to cryptoasset performance, with Arthur Hayes, former CEO of derivatives giant BitMEX, predicting downside continuing in the second half of 2023.

โ€œOf course, not all of the cash injected by the PBoC will end up in risk assets. But I’d bet that a decent portion of it will!โ€ Tedtalksmacro nonetheless concluded.

โ€œJust like we saw from the West in 2020, heightened liquidity from central banks = prices of risk assets (like BTC) go up.โ€

BTC/USD vs. U.S. liquidity annotated chart. Source: Tedtalksmacro/ Twitter

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