Bitcoin Taps $66k as Stock Divergence Hints at a BTC Price Rally

Bitcoin (BTC) rallied toward $66,000 after Tuesdayโ€™s gains in the US stock market, as cryptocurrencies sought to halt their 2026 slump. ย 

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin rallied above $66,000 on Wednesday, recovering alongside US stocks.

  • Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index flipped positive amid $258 million in ETF inflows.

  • While BTCโ€™s correlation with stocks and gold is at its weakest since 2022, it historically signaled significant upside upon reversion.

BTC/USD hourly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC price recovers in tandem with US equities

Bitcoinโ€™s recovery Wednesday aligns closely with similar rebounds in the US stock market, with AI and tech stocks leading the market higher.

Source: The Kobeissi Letter

The tech-focused Nasdaq led the recovery with 1.05% daily gains, while the S&P 500 rose 0.68%. The Dow locked in a 421-point gain, closing the trading day on Tuesday 0.86% higher.

Related: Bitcoin bounces to $66K as rumors swirl over Jane Street selling algorithm

Crypto-related stocks also saw moderate gains, with crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) rising by 1.12% and Strategy (MSTR) gaining 0.73%.

24-hour performance of US stocks. Source: Financial Visualizations

The swift recovery of US equity markets appears to have played a role in easing negative pressure on crypto investors looking to cut risk asset exposure.ย 

This is evidenced by the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index, a metric that tracks the price difference between BTC on Coinbase and Binance, which has flipped positive for the first time since Jan. 15.

This means โ€œUS buyers are stepping in,โ€ said analyst Nic in a post on Wednesday, adding that the index needs to stay positive to ensure sustained buying pressure.ย 

Bitcoinโ€™s Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CoinGlass

The return of demand in the US was also reflected by Bitcoin ETFs, which recorded $258 million in net inflows on Tuesday.

Bitcoin wonโ€™t stay disconnected forever: Analysis

Bitcoin, which is often viewed as a risk asset in the short term, has frequently moved in tandem with the stock market, particularly the S&P 500.

The past six months have seen a sustained period of this correlation breaking. The daily correlation coefficient index between BTC price and the US benchmark index, the S&P 500 index, is currently 0.32, and -0.45 with gold.

Bitcoin vs. S&P 500โ€™s and gold daily correlation coefficient. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

โ€œSince late August, gold has surged +51%, the S&P 500 has gained +7%, and Bitcoin has fallen -43%,โ€ onchain data provider Santiment said in a recent post on X.ย ย 

This marks the weakest correlation between Bitcoin and stocks since the FTX chaos in late 2022.

โ€œHistorically, when an asset that is usually correlated breaks away in this dramatic fashion, it typically does not stay disconnected forever,โ€ Santiment said, adding:

โ€œIn the long term, this unusual separation actually argues for significant upside for Bitcoin and altcoins.โ€

Cryptocurrencies, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Stocks, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, S&P 500, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin correlation with stocks and gold. Source: Santiment

If Bitcoin returns to its historical pattern of tracking equities during economic expansions, โ€œit may have significant room to catch up,โ€ Santiment concluded.

This view was echoed by the founder and CIO of trading company QCP Capital, Darius Sit, who argued that the โ€œBitcoin vs. goldโ€ debate is often misread as a price contest, when the โ€œmore important driver is liquidity and market structure.โ€

The divergence between stocks and BTC โ€œreflects position unwinds and leverage-driven flows, not a failure of Bitcoinโ€™s longer-term narrative,โ€ Sit said, adding:

โ€œBitcoin still behaves like a long-term inflation hedge and an increasingly legible form of collateral.โ€

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoinโ€™s adoption by institutions, banks, merchants, public companies and nation-states surged in 2025, confirming it as a maturing asset class for investors.