Bitcoin to remain in consolidation as fiat-to-stablecoin conversions stay muted, analysts warn

Stablecoin minting data shows a slowdown in fiat-to-crypto on-ramps, with the Federal Reserveโ€™s hawkish shift likely impacting market activity, Matrixport warns.

Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to stay in consolidation as long as fiat-to-stablecoin conversions remain muted, according to Singapore-based digital asset firm Matrixport.

In a Jan. 14 research note, Matrixport noted that the latest 7-day stablecoin minting indicator shows a โ€œsignificant slowdownโ€ in fiat-to-crypto on-ramps, particularly in the lead-up to the Christmas holidays.

Markus Thielen, an independent analyst, said the dip can be attributed to the Federal Reserveโ€™s hawkish pivot in mid-December, which likely dampened investor sentiment. With fiat-to-stablecoin conversions still subdued, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are expected to continue consolidating, Thielen warned.

Despite the end of the quieter holiday period, stablecoin inflows have yet to show a meaningful rebound. Even after the holiday period ended, stablecoin inflows have yet to rebound meaningfully. Thielen stressed that this metric is important, as a rise in stablecoin minting โ€œtypically signals rising demand for cryptocurrencies.โ€ However, the current uptick in minting is slight, and its sustainability remains uncertain, he admitted.

Thielen remains cautious, noting that while any increase in minting is a good sign, itโ€™s still not enough to signal a clear path for BTC or other cryptocurrencies. For now, the market is likely to stay in a holding pattern until more significant movements in stablecoin inflows appear.

Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States recorded their third consecutive day of outflows this year, as Bitcoin fell below $90,000 amid a broader market risk-off sentiment. As crypto.news reported, the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs logged nearly $285 million in net outflows on Jan. 13, extending the outflow streak to three days, during which over $1 billion exited the funds.

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