Bitcoin Traders Brace for Sub-$100,000 BTC Price Lows Next

Key points:

  • Bitcoin slips under $104,000 amid doubts over BTC price support.

  • Price targets now include the CME futures gap at $92,000.

  • Short-term holders head deep into the red, sitting on growing unrealized losses.

Bitcoin (BTC) faced further losses Tuesday as traders prepared for sub-$100,000 BTC price levels.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin price in โ€œfreefallโ€ as $104,000 slips

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked new lows of $103,732 on Bitstamp, with price down over 2% on the day.

Early weakness compounded during the Asia trading session, and now, market participants increasingly believed that $100,000 support would fail.

โ€œ$BTC is in absolute free fall right now,โ€ crypto investor and entrepreneur Ted Pillows reacted on X.

โ€œThereโ€™s no strong support until the $100,000 level, which means itโ€™ll most likely get retested.โ€

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Ted Pillows/X

Pillows eyed an unfilled weekend โ€œgapโ€ in CME Groupโ€™s Bitcoin Futures market at around $92,000 โ€” just below the 2025 yearly open.

โ€œIf Bitcoin loses the $100,000 zone, expect a correction towards the $92,000 level, which has a CME gap,โ€ he added.

CME Bitcoin futures one-day chart with gap. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Trader Daan Crypto Trades warned that BTC/USD had lost its โ€œmain supportโ€ from recent weeks.

โ€œNow nearing the bottom of the range where price made its initial higher low after the bounce post 10/10 liquidation event,โ€ an X post read, referring to the Oct. 10 crypto market crash.

Daan Crypto Trades noted that, in addition to โ€œmassiveโ€ selling by Bitcoin whales, US stocks had become less bullish, while US dollar strength was rising โ€” three potential headwinds for crypto.

โ€œAll in all not a great recipe for the time being,โ€ he concluded.

BTC/USDT perpetual contract four-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Derivatives trader Ardi was meanwhile among those eyeing a fill of the Oct. 10 candle wick, which on Binance had reached $102,000.

This level features confluence with Bitcoinโ€™s 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) โ€” a level untouched for seven months.

BTC/USD one-day chart with 50-week EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Unrealized losses spark โ€œcapitulationโ€

Price pressure in turn led to renewed stress on recent Bitcoin buyers, who were now underwater on their holdings.

Related: Retail investors โ€˜retreatโ€™ to $98.5K: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Data from onchain analytics platform Glassnode showed the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator for short-term holders (STHs) returning to โ€œcapitulationโ€ territory.

NUPL looks at the profitability of onchain transactions involving entities hodling for up to 155 days. At the time of writing, it measured -0.058 โ€”ย on the way toward its lowest levels since April.

โ€œHistorically, such periods of STH stress and capitulation have marked attractive accumulation opportunities for patient investors,โ€ Glassnode commented on X Monday.

Bitcoin STH-NUPL. Source: Glassnode

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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