Bitcoin wavers below key support as liquidations rise and CVDD highlights deeper downside risk.
Summary
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has entered a period of volatility as the cryptocurrency struggles to maintain recent highs amid macroeconomic concerns and market liquidations, according to market observers.
The digital asset has fallen below a key support zone and faces potential further short-term declines, market data shows. The cryptocurrency market has transitioned away from a period of expansion but has not entered what analysts describe as complete capitulation.
Current market dynamics reflect competition between short-term speculative traders and longer-term holders, according to onchain data analysis. The data suggests additional price declines remain possible.
Analysts have pointed to the Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed (CVDD) metric as a significant long-term structural support indicator. The CVDD, a blockchain-based measure, has historically identified Bitcoin cycle lows dating back to the early 2010s, according to market researchers.
The CVDD metric tracks accumulation and spending patterns of coins held for extended periods through the concept of Coin Days Destroyed (CDD). The measure aggregates historical data of destroyed coin days in a valuation model that has identified major price bottoms across previous market cycles, analysts said.
The model evaluates when older, long-held coins are spent on the blockchain. Historical data shows the CVDD has provided support during price declines across various market cycles, with Bitcoin’s price occasionally falling beneath the CVDD line before initiating long-term recoveries.
Market analysts view the CVDD level as important structural support and a potential accumulation opportunity if market conditions deteriorate, though they note it does not guarantee prices will reach that level. Bitcoin trading consistently above the CVDD typically indicates a stronger macro position, while prices approaching the metric often correlate with negative sentiment, according to market observers.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin failed to sustain recent highs and broke below a nearby support level, prompting a fresh decline. Technical indicators show momentum weakened after the cryptocurrency failed to breach a key resistance zone, with price action moving close to a commonly monitored moving average.
If the price stabilizes above short-term support, a renewed upward trend remains possible, with initial resistance likely to limit rallies before further gains can be confirmed, technical analysts said. However, a failure to overcome that resistance could trigger another decline.
Multiple support levels exist beneath the current price that traders are monitoring for potential rebounds. A break below the nearest major support could complicate short-term recovery efforts and lead to tests of lower structural support levels, according to technical analysis.
