Bitcoin Weakness Vs. Ethereum Strength: On-Chain Data Reveals Divergence

As Bitcoin (BTC) stalls near the $113,000 level, Ethereum (ETH) continues to show strength, highlighting a clear divergence in price action between the top two cryptocurrencies by market cap. This contrast has some investors considering a rotation from BTC into ETH to capture the latterโ€™s bullish momentum.

Bitcoin Shows Correction Risks โ€“ Is ETH Safe?

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data reveals underlying weakness in BTC price action. By contrast, ETH is displaying notable resilience even as broader crypto market momentum fades.

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Currently, Bitcoinโ€™s exchange reserves are hovering around 2.53 million BTC, showing little sign of declining despite recent volatility. For context, BTC has fallen 5.4% over the past week.

Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, shrinking exchange reserves have indicated BTC moving off exchanges for long-term holding, which reduces near-term sell pressure. This time, however, reserves remain flat, suggesting that a significant portion of BTC supply is still liquid and available for selling.

Flat exchange reserves โ€“ combined with BTCโ€™s recent drop from $123,000 to $113,000 โ€“ have raised red flags for a possible short-term correction. Meanwhile, ETHโ€™s on-chain dynamics tell a very different story.

Unlike BTC, ETH has consistently recorded large net outflows from exchanges, with multiple spikes exceeding 300,000 ETH in late July and mid-August. XWIN Research Japan explained:

Outflows usually reflect coins moving into cold storage, staking, or institutional custody, tightening the available supply on the open market. ETHโ€™s price has been between $4.150 to $4,400, aligning with the outflow trend and reinforcing a bullish narrative of a potential supply shock.

In short, while BTC is consolidating with lingering sell-side liquidity, ETHโ€™s declining exchange balances signal rising institutional demand. These opposing dynamics suggest capital may be rotating from BTC to ETH.

ethereum
Source: CryptoQuant

Different Dynamics Between BTC And ETH

Beyond exchange reserves, other indicators also highlight further downside risk for BTC and growing institutional interest in ETH, reinforcing the marketโ€™s preference for Ethereum over Bitcoin.

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For instance, noted crypto analyst Xanrox recently offered a dramatic price prediction for BTC, stating that it may crash all the way down to $60,000 โ€“ almost a 50% fall from its current market price.

Meanwhile, whales continue to increase their exposure to ETH, growing their holdings at a rapid pace as ETHโ€™s relative strength compared to BTC improves. Yesterday, an Ethereum whale went long on $300 million worth of ETH on-chain.

From a technical perspective as well, things look positive for ETH, with a potential recovery to $4,788 on the cards. At press time, BTC trades at $112,283, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
Bitcoin trades at $112,283 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

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