Coin Metrics co-founder debunks Bitcoin flipping Visa in transactions

Coin Metrics co-founder Nic Carter says Bitcoin hasnโ€™t flipped Visa regarding annual transaction volume, referring to incorrect data aggregated by on-chain firms.

Bitcoin (BTC) is not even close to those transaction volume levels that Visa deals with. At least thatโ€™s what Nic Carter, a partner at Castle Island Ventures and the co-founder of Coin Metrics, said in a recent post on X.

The Coin Metrics co-founder said that Bitcoin on-chain value declined significantly in 2023. He noted that the networkโ€™s annual volume has not grown since 2021.

Bitcoinโ€™s annual volume compared to other financial systems | Source: X

As per his calculations, BTCโ€™s 2023 adjusted volumes are โ€œannualizing at $3.1 billion,โ€ which is one-fourth of Visaโ€™s annual volumes. Carter says any claims to the contrary are based on โ€œpoorly adjusted measures of BTC on-chain settlement value.โ€

โ€œIf you donโ€™t strip out a lot of spurious churn & change transactions, you get a massively inflated figure. The difference is really stark.โ€

Nic Carter

Carter admitted that on-chain value settled is โ€œpretty subjective and tricky to determine.โ€ He reiterated his stance, saying thereโ€™s no question from his seat that Bitcoinโ€™s settlement volume has not surpassed that of Visa.

Bitcoin vs. Visa discussion

Carterโ€™s statement comes shortly after William Clemente, the co-founder of Reflexivity Research, published a post on X.

Clemente stated that Bitcoin surpassed Visaโ€™s annual transaction volume. He also added he was using Glassnodeโ€™s change-adjusted volume, noting he was not sure what diff in methodology is.


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