Crypto faces largest downtrend of cycle, says Glassnode

As crypto markets face their biggest downturn of the cycle, long-term investors are increasingly holding onto their assets, analysts say.

Bitcoin (BTC) is grappling with the most significant downtrend of the current cycle, but recent data suggests a shift towards a more patient and resilient investor base. According to a Glassnode report on Aug. 13, the market is experiencing its โ€œlargest downtrend of the cycle,โ€ following an extended period of aggressive distribution by investors.

Despite the challenging conditions, thereโ€™s a growing trend among long-term holders to retain their assets rather than sell, signaling a shift in investor behavior toward โ€œhodling.โ€

Bitcoinโ€™s trend accumulation score by cohort | Source: Glassnode

The Accumulation Trend Score, which measures market-wide accumulation patterns, has reached its highest possible value of 1.0, indicating a return to accumulation. Glassnode reports that this cohort has now โ€œreturned to a preference for HODLing, with a total volume of +374,000 BTC migrating into LTH status over the last three months.โ€

Bitcoinโ€™s price holds strong despite sell-offs

Despite aggressive sell-offs from April to July, Bitcoinโ€™s spot price has remained above the Active Investor Cost Basis, indicating continued market strength, according to the blockchain research firm.

Crypto faces largest downtrend of cycle, says Glassnode - 2
Bitcoinโ€™s spot CVD metric | Source: Glassnode

The report also highlights that the adjusted Spot Cumulative Volume Delta metric has been negative, reflecting persistent net sell-side pressure. Nonetheless, the LTH Sell-Side Risk ratio remains at a โ€œlower levelโ€ compared to prior all-time high breaks, implying that the magnitude of profit taken by the LTH cohort is โ€œcomparatively small relative to previous market cycles,โ€ Glassnode says.

โ€œThis also infers that this cohort is waiting for higher prices before ramping up their distribution pressure,โ€ the firm added.

With Bitcoinโ€™s price hovering around $60,000, investors appear to be waiting for โ€œhigher pricesโ€ before adjusting their holdings, Glassnode summarized, suggesting a patient, long-term outlook despite the ongoing spark of volatility.

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