Ethereum nears key Bitcoin price level that last time sparked 450% gains

Ethereumโ€™s Ether (ETH) token is approaching a critical price zone against Bitcoin (BTC), which historically marked the beginning of a massive rebound.

ETH price fractal from 2019 hints at bottom

The ETH/BTC pair, currently trading near 0.019 BTC, is edging closer to 0.016 BTC โ€” the exact level it reached in September 2019 before rallying nearly 450% over the following year.

ETH/BTC weekly performance chart. Source: TradingView

The current ETH/BTC setup resembles 2019, with both periods marked by oversold relative strength index (RSI), long stretches below key moving averages, and multiyear declines.

In 2019, ETH/BTC fell over 90% in the prior two years, driven by the ICO collapse.

As of 2025, the pair is down over 80% from its 2021 peak, weighed by skepticism over Ethereumโ€™s switch to proof-of-stake (PoS), rising competition, and Bitcoinโ€™s growing dominance as an institutional asset.

In response to the growing concerns, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has proposed new architecture and protocol-wide standards to make Ethereum simpler, faster, and as maintainable as Bitcoin within five years.

Related: Ethereum to simplify crosschain transactions with new token standards

One analyst called Buterinโ€™s proposal โ€œthe most bullish thing for ETH.โ€

The bullish hopes come as ETH/BTC attempts to break free from its multi-year โ€œbearish parabola.โ€ This resistance curve has been instrumental in limiting the pairโ€™s upside attempts since December 2021 but showed signs of exhaustion as of May 3.

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โ€œWe might see an end of this bearish parabola,โ€ wrote chartist Jimie.

He noted that if the curved resistance holds, ETH/BTC could drop toward 0.016 BTC โ€” the same level where it bottomed in September 2019 before rallying by roughly 450%.

Flush ETH and buy Bitcoin, saysย Adam Back

Skeptics like Bitcoinโ€™sย proof-of-work pioneer,ย Adam Back,ย argueย that Buterin is overlooking deeper design flaws while proposing to simplify Ethereum in the coming years.

Back criticizes Ethereumโ€™s account-based system, saying it adds unnecessary complexity compared to Bitcoinโ€™s simpler UTXO (unspent transaction output) model. He argues this growing complexity increases technical risks and makes Ethereum harder to scale and secure.

Proof-of-Stake, Vitalik Buterin, Markets, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis, Ether Price, Ethereum Price
Source: X/Adam Back

He also warns that Ethereumโ€™s shift to PoS has concentrated power among insiders by redirecting miner rewards to large tokenholders.

โ€œAt this point, just flush ETH before it hits zero and buy Bitcoin,โ€ he wrote, suggesting no upgrade can fix what he views as Ethereumโ€™s flawed foundation.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.