Ethereum Prints Copycat 95% Rally Setup Against Bitcoin

ETH price could rally 95% versus Bitcoin if a decisive breakout above the key 0.042 BTC neckline confirms a bullish reversal.

Key takeaways:

Ethereumโ€™s native token, Ether (ETH), could rally by over 95% versus Bitcoin (BTC), according to a textbook bullish reversal pattern forming on the ETH/BTC chart.

Ethereum mirroring bullish setup from 2021

As of Monday, Ether appeared to be carving out the right shoulder of a developing inverse head-and-shoulders (IH&S) pattern on the ETH/BTC chart.

ETH/BTC weekly chart. Source: TradingView

This stage typically marks the penultimate phase of a bullish reversal, with confirmation arriving once the price breaks decisively above the neckline resistance.

Once confirmed, the patternโ€™s upside target is typically calculated by measuring the distance between the headโ€™s low and the neckline, suggesting room for a strong rally after a successful breakout.

ETH/BTC could rise toward 0.066 BTC if it breaks decisively above the neckline resistance at around 0.042 BTC. That amounted to approximately 95% gains compared to the current price levels.

A similar inverse head-and-shoulders structure played out on the ETH/BTC chart in 2019โ€“2021, following a prolonged period of Ether underperformance. That setup resolved with a 95% breakout above its neckline.

ETH/BTC weekly chart. Source: TradingView

Analyst Michael van de Poppe shared a similar outlook for ETH/BTC over the weekend, saying that the pair had already bottomed out in April 2025 and was due for further gains in 2026.

What invalidates the Ether-Bitcoin bullish outlook

The bullish ETH/BTC reversal thesis would be invalidated if the pair fails to continue forming the right shoulder and instead breaks lower from its current consolidation.

On shorter-time frame charts, ETH/BTC appears to be forming a bear pennant, a pattern that typically signals trend continuation to the downside after a sharp drop.

ETH/BTC three-day chart. Source: TradingView

A confirmed breakdown from this structure would likely drag the pair toward its pennant target near 0.024โ€“0.025 BTC.

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Such a move would prevent a rally toward the neckline, invalidate the inverse head-and-shoulders setup, and signal that Etherโ€™s relative downtrend against Bitcoin remains intact.