Institutional Bitcoin Buys Exceed Mined Supply by 76%

Bitcoin institutions bought more BTC than miners added to the supply in the first week of 2026 as a classic BTC price bull signal began to repeat.

Bitcoin (BTC) buying is back in 2026 as institutions have acquired more BTC per day than miners produced.

Key points:

  • Institutions have been โ€œnet buyersโ€ of Bitcoin for eight days straight, a dedicated tracking metric reports.

  • Sustained net buying has resulted in average BTC price upside of nearly 110% since 2020.

  • Bitcoin is due a relief bounce after three months of losses.

Institutions buy 76% more BTC than miners add

The latest data from quantitative Bitcoin and digital asset fund Capriole Investments shows institutional buys beating mined supply by almost 76%.

After a period of uncertainty over the new year that followed two months of demand breakdown, major corporate players are interested in BTC exposure again.

Caprioleโ€™s Net Institutional Buying metric, which includes purchases by corporate treasuries and the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has recorded eight โ€œgreenโ€ days in a row.

Bitcoin Net Institutional Buying chart. Source: Capriole Investments

This means that on each of those days, net institutional buying appetite was more than the BTC added to the supply by miners. On Monday, this โ€œexcessโ€ demand totaled 76%.

โ€œInstitutions are once again net buyers of Bitcoin,โ€ Capriole founder Charles Edwards commented in response to the data in a post on X.

Edwards revealed that historically, BTC/USD has seen significant gains in the period after institutional buying flips positive versus newly mined supply.

Since 2020, the average increase has been 109%, with the previous flip sparking 41% upside.

Bitcoin Net Institutional Buying vs. BTC/USD. Source: Charles Edwards/X

BTC price due $100,000 comeback in January

Network economist Timothy Peterson added to the optimistic takes on BTC price performance going forward.

Related: Can BTC avoid bull trap at $93K? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

History, he agreed, is on the bullsโ€™ side after a near 40% drawdown against Octoberโ€™s $126,200 all-time highs.

โ€œHistory favors a return above $100,000 for Bitcoin this month. Bitcoin has had 3 consecutive months of declines.ย  That has only happened 9 times since 2015,โ€ Peterson wrote on X Tuesday.ย 

โ€œWhat happens next? 1 month later, Bitcoin was positive 67% of the time.ย  However, the 3 negative instances were all in 2018 and marked the end of that bear market.โ€

BTC price performance comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

Peterson calculated a smaller average gain as a result of the phenomenon, coming in at 15%.

BTC/USD returned to $94,000 after Mondayโ€™s Wall Street open, going on to see its highest levels since mid-November.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.