Bitcoin’s march toward $100,000 is gaining momentum as cooling U.S. labor data, shifting Fed policy expectations, and geopolitical tensions converge, setting the stage for renewed price discovery and a possible breakout beyond prior all-time highs. Macro Signals and Global Tensions Fuel Bitcoin’s Six-Figure Push A shifting macro and geopolitical landscape is sharpening investor focus on […] Original
Tag: Data
Prediction Market Data Shows Waning Confidence in January Bitcoin Breakout
Bitcoin dipped to an intraday low of $89,343 on Thursday, Jan. 8, before stabilizing just above $90,000 by 11:25 a.m. EST, as prediction markets collectively pared back expectations for a six-figure January move. $100K Still Possible, but January Odds Are Sliding Across major prediction platforms, traders have been steadily dialing down the odds that bitcoin […] Original
Polymarket Strikes Major Deal With Dow Jones, WSJ to Distribute Prediction Data
Key Notes Polymarket’s data will appear in WSJ, Barron’s, and Investor’s Business Daily for earnings forecasts and market predictions. The partnership marks prediction markets’ growing acceptance despite ongoing debates about gambling regulation and insider trading concerns. Industry leaders like Brian Armstrong and Vitalik Buterin defend the platforms’ value as information sources rather than pure gambling venues. Polymarket has announced another significant partnership, now agreeing to distribute prediction data to Dow Jones outlets, which include The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), Barron’s, and Investor’s Business Daily. The breaking news was given by…
Bitcoin Accumulation: Data Shows Institutions Are Net Buyers Again
After a phase of net Bitcoin selling, on-chain data suggests institutional entities have started accumulating the cryptocurrency once more. Bitcoin Rose Over 41% The Last Time Institutions Turned Into Net Buyers As pointed out by Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards in an X post, institutions have once again turned into net buyers of Bitcoin. Below is the chart shared by Edwards that shows the trend in institutional behavior over the last few years. From the graph, it’s visible that institutional investors switched their behavior to selling back in October as…
What On-Chain Data Really Shows
Bitcoin has pushed back above the $92,000 level after spending several days trapped below $90,000, offering a brief sense of relief to a market that has remained under pressure since late 2025. The rebound has helped stabilize short-term sentiment, but confidence remains fragile. Many analysts continue to warn that 2026 could evolve into a broader bear market, citing weak spot demand, fading momentum, and persistent sell-side activity from larger participants. Related Reading Against this backdrop, macro headlines have re-entered the conversation. An analysis from XWIN Research Japan points to reports…
Bitcoin Shrugs Off Venezuela Shock as On-Chain Data Signals Calm
Key Notes On-chain indicators show Bitcoin holders quietly accumulating. Retail accumulation has been rising, but without euphoric spikes. CEXs haven’t recorded any strong inflows despite macro tension in Venezuela. Bitcoin BTC $92 655 24h volatility: 1.6% Market cap: $1.85 T Vol. 24h: $37.44 B investors have been acting cautiously, but not fearfully, amid macro uncertainty, price volatility, and geopolitical stress. CryptoQuant analysts have pointed out Bitcoin’s recent momentum with strong data. According to the exchange inflow chart shared in an X post, BTC panic selling is unlikely despite the sensitive…
The Bitcoin Whale Comeback Story May Be Overblown, Onchain Data Shows
According to onchain data from CryptoQuant, claims that big holders are massively reaccumulating Bitcoin are exaggerated. The numbers that many share on social media can be distorted by exchange moves, not fresh buying. That distortion matters because large transfers tied to exchanges can look like one entity is piling in, when the action is often internal bookkeeping. Related Reading Whale Wallet Totals Can Be Misleading Exchange firms often merge funds from many small accounts into fewer large wallets for operational or compliance reasons. When that happens, onchain trackers may count…
Bitcoin Records Least Volatile Year In Its History: Data
Despite the recent price action, Bitcoin (BTC) closed 2025 as the year with the lowest volatility in its history, driven by market maturity, regulatory developments, and the increasing participation of institutions in the crypto space. Related Reading Bitcoin Records Least Volatile Year On Friday, K33 Research data revealed that Bitcoin has recorded the least volatile year in the asset’s history. According to the chart, the flagship cryptocurrency saw its lowest volatility level, measured by the average deviation of daily returns, in 2025, hitting just 2.24%. The recent data shows that…
Bitcoin Data Shows Aggressive Sellers In Control As BTC Consolidates Below $90K
Bitcoin closed the year slightly in the red, marking a rare break in the long-observed four-year cycle pattern of one red year followed by three green years. The annual decline was modest—around 6%—and negligible compared to historical drawdowns seen in prior bearish years. Yet despite its limited magnitude, the red close carries symbolic weight, suggesting a shift in market behavior rather than outright weakness. Related Reading Recent on-chain analysis from Axel Adler adds important context to this change. Data tracking cumulative Net Taker Flow shows that aggressive buying peaked around…
Bitcoin’s Bear Market Might Not Be New, Data Shows
According to CryptoQuant’s head of research Julio Moreno, Bitcoin may already be two months into a bear market after several of his indicators flipped to bearish in early November. Related Reading Moreno pointed to the price sliding below its one-year moving average as the clearest technical confirmation, and he used that signal to argue a lower trading range may be on the path ahead. Bitcoin Technical Signals, Market Mood Moreno said a likely bottom could sit near the realized price, which he put in the $56,000–$60,000 band. That would mean…