Bitcoin is down 36% from its recent peak, and the “bear market” label is already circulating across crypto X. But in a thread on Sunday, trader Cristian Chifoi argues that calling a regime shift on the drawdown alone misses the more tradable signal: what happens after the first meaningful rebound, and how price behaves around a tight set of time-based “seasonality windows.” Chifoi’s core claim is that many commentators default to reactive narratives after volatility has already printed. “The simplest way to determine if the Bitcoin bear market has started…
Tag: Market
Bitcoin flash crash deepens as whales, market makers dump into leveraged longs
Bitcoin and major cryptos tumbled as US–EU tariff tensions sparked a $100b wipeout and heavy long liquidations, pushing BTC toward critical support. Summary Bitcoin shed tens of billions in value as crypto market cap dropped by about $100b within hours amid US–EU tariff threats. On-chain data showed large coordinated BTC selling by whales, exchanges and market makers, triggering cascading long liquidations. BTC now hovers near key Fibonacci and trendline support, with analysts split between a deeper 2022-style dump and a relief bounce toward $98k–$100k. Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies experienced…
Amid market woes, Bitcoin bulls rotate from cash-and-carry trades into long-term ETF bets
Large investors are unwinding Bitcoin cash-and-carry arbitrage as ETF inflows rise, CME basis compresses, and low volatility pushes them into stickier long exposure. Summary SoSoValue data shows U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs flipping back to net inflows in January after December redemptions. The CME futures–ETF basis has narrowed toward transaction and funding costs, killing cash-and-carry yields and prompting arbitrage funds to exit. Bitfinex and Volmex data highlight multi-month lows in 30-day implied BTC volatility, favoring long-horizon “sticky” ETF holders over short-term basis traders. Large institutional investors are reducing arbitrage positions in…
Crypto Market Faces $1B Token Unlocks as Altseason Index Slips to 27
Key Notes Over $1.05 billion in token unlocks will hit the market in seven days. Bitget Token and PLUME face the largest cliff dilution. With the AltSeason Index at 27, capital stays in Bitcoin. The crypto market faces more than $1.05 billion in token unlocks over the next seven days, according to token unlock data provider Tokenomist. The timing is poor for altcoins as the AltSeason Index sits at 27, which means Bitcoin is dominating, and the risk appetite for secondary assets is weak. Unlocks of this size matter because…
Crypto Market Liquidations Hit $870 Million as EU Escalates Trump Tariff War
Key Notes Bitcoin drags the crypto market down amid heavy selling activity across major entities and on top exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, etc. Whale entities dumped more than $4 billion worth of BTC in the past few hours. The decline came alongside reports that the EU is preparing up to $100 billion in retaliatory tariffs. Bitcoin BTC $93 001 24h volatility: 2.2% Market cap: $1.86 T Vol. 24h: $40.49 B and the broader cryptocurrency market faced another selling pressure soon after the EU-US trade war escalated further. The crypto market…
XRP Price Stabilizes After Flash Crash, Market Watches Closely
Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis. From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked…
Ethereum Network Activity Explodes, Market Structure Points To Upside Continuation
Ethereum is showing signs of strength on two critical fronts at the same time. On-chain activity has climbed to record levels, reflecting heavier real usage across the network, while long-term technical structure is leaning towards upside continuation. Together, these signals suggest that Ethereum’s current phase may be more than just sideways movement, as underlying data points to sustained demand and constructive price behavior. Related Reading Ethereum Daily Transactions Reach New High Ethereum’s price action is turning bullish with a steady increase in recent days. Notably, on-chain data shows that this…
Cryptoquant: Bitcoin Demand Conditions Improve Slightly, Bear Market Still Intact
Bitcoin’s recent price rebound aligns with historical bear market rally behavior, according to a new insights report published by Cryptoquant and its analysts at cryptoquant.com. Cryptoquant Says Bitcoin Demand Has Not Recovered Materially This week, Cryptoquant researchers note that bitcoin has climbed roughly 21% since Nov. 21, following a 19% decline that confirmed a bear […] Original
Bitcoin ETF Rally Snaps With $395 Million Exit as Market Momentum Fades
Crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows turned mixed on Friday as Bitcoin’s multi-day inflow streak snapped sharply. Ether managed to stay marginally positive, while XRP and Solana closed the week with subdued, low-conviction moves. Crypto ETFs Mixed as Bitcoin Slides and Ether Clings to Inflows The week ended on a more cautious note for crypto ETFs, […] Original
Coinbase CEO Claims Big Banks Are Aiming To ‘Kill Competition’ With Latest Crypto Market Bill Draft
Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies. Ronaldo’s journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology. Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration…