XRP Set To Smash All-Time High As Catalysts Align, Analyst Says

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Crypto strategist Pentoshi put the market on notice in a lateโ€‘Tuesday post. โ€œWithโ€ฏXRP it held up for the past 7โ€ฏmonths while most of the market nuked and kept this structure. It arguably has little resistance from here because it never spent time trading here on the verge of price discovery,โ€ he wrote, adding that a cluster of regulatory and corporate tailwinds โ€œis a pretty good setup into decent tailwinds and so far has traded very cleanly.โ€

By Wednesday afternoon XRP was changing hands at $3.08, up roughly 27โ€ฏpercent on the week and hovering just below its highest close since the 2021 cycle high. Daily volumes have topped USโ€ฏ$8.5โ€ฏbillion and momentum indicators on major venues show relativeโ€‘strength indexes back in โ€œbuyโ€ territory, underscoring Pentoshiโ€™s contention that overhead supply is thin.

XRP price analysis
XRP price chart | Source: X @Pentosh1

Upcoming XRP Price Catalysts

The first fundamental catalyst is Washingtonโ€™s sudden enthusiasm for federal stablecoin rules. The Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act sailed through the Senate in June and secured the votes it needs in the House this week after an eleventhโ€‘hour whip by President Donaldโ€ฏTrump. House Majority Leader Steveโ€ฏScalise told reporters, โ€œWeโ€™re back on trackโ€ฏโ€ฆ all three bills will be encompassed in the work we do today,โ€ referring also to the CLARITY and Antiโ€‘CBDC acts.

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Ripple, which launched its dollarโ€‘backed RLUSD last December, is already positioning for that environment. On 2โ€ฏJuly the company filed for a US national bank charter and a Federal Reserve master account that would let it custody RLUSD reserves directly at the Fed. Two weeks later it confirmed plans to secure an EU electronicโ€‘moneyโ€‘institution licence under MiCA; a company spokesperson said Ripple aims โ€œto become MiCAโ€‘compliantโ€ because it sees โ€œsignificant opportunity in the European market.โ€

The second driver is the nearโ€‘resolution of Rippleโ€™s grinding courtroom saga. Onโ€ฏ26โ€ฏJune, when US District Judgeโ€ฏAnalisaโ€ฏTorres rebuffed a joint motion by Ripple and the SEC that would have vacated her permanent injunction and sliced the civil penalty fromโ€ฏ$125โ€ฏmillion to $50โ€ฏmillion, ruling the parties had โ€œnot come closeโ€ to establishing the โ€œexceptional circumstancesโ€ required to alter a final judgment.

The next day CEOโ€ฏBradโ€ฏGarlinghouse announced on X that Ripple will drop its own crossโ€‘appeal and โ€œclose this chapter once and for all,โ€ adding that he expects the SEC to withdraw its appeal as well. For now, however, Torresโ€™s injunction and the full $125โ€ฏmillion penalty remain in force, leaving any definitive resolution, however, the end has never been closer.

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With the litigation roadblock largely cleared, exchangeโ€‘tradedโ€‘fund issuers have accelerated filings. ProShares on 15 July rolled out 2ร— leveraged futures funds tied to Solana and XRP, noting that spotโ€‘based products remain in the SEC queue. Only a week earlier, the agency issued new disclosure guidance meant to streamline cryptoโ€‘ETF approvals. Trump Media &โ€ฏTechnology Group has even asked the SEC to sign off on a โ€œblueโ€‘chipโ€ basket ETF that would hold bitcoin, ether, solana and xrp, signalling bipartisan pressure to open the ETF spigot further.

Ripple is also arming itself for a buying spree. โ€œOur M&A people are very busy,โ€ chief technology officer Davidโ€ฏSchwartz told DLโ€ฏNews in late June, revealing โ€œmultiple potential acquisitions in various different stages.โ€ The firm has already paid $1.25โ€ฏbillion for prime broker Hiddenโ€ฏRoad this year and is building an onโ€‘ledger lending protocol slated for Q3, moves that could deepen XRP liquidity and justify higher valuations.

Each strandโ€”the GENIUS Act, the bank charter and MiCA licences, the SECโ€™s retreat, the ETF pipeline, and Rippleโ€™s warโ€‘chest for acquisitionsโ€”converges on the same conclusion: regulatory opacity is fading just as institutional distribution channels open. Whether that is enough to propel XRP through the previous all-time high at $3.84 from January 2018 remains to be seen, but the technical setup is also looking quite strong, as Pentoshi concludes.

At press time, XRP traded at $3.14.

XRP price
XRP price, 1-day chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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