According to one Cornell professor proficient in computer science and an advocate for Bitcoin, Emin Gun Sirer, crypto will be unable to surmount a $1 trillion collective valuation until certain requirements are met. He believes that with industry developments, “crypto winter will end” — eventually.
Crypto Needs Scaling, Real Use-Cases, Decentralized Solutions
Sirer recently wrote on Twitter that the cryptocurrency market surpassed $700 billion with “inherently unscalable technologies,” referring to 2017’s seemingly hype-based rally. While some were sure that $1 trillion was in crypto’s sights then, the market obviously pulled back drastically.
Crypto winter will end.
We reached $700B with inherently unscalable technologies.
We will surpass $1T when we figure out how to scale, how to build non-custodial solutions, how to layer apps that people want to use and that bring net positive outcomes to society.
— Emin Gün Sirer (@el33th4xor) March 28, 2019
However, Sirer is under the belief that with scaling solutions, potentially like the Lightning Network or Ethereum’s Proof of Stake; a surge in non-custodial solutions, thereby mitigating the risk of hacks (just look at DragonEx & Bithumb); viable use cases that bring “net positive outcomes to society,” this market could finally begin to rally again.
Related Reading: EOS Scaling Issues and Their Impact on the Blockchain
Bitcoin To Surpass $1 Trillion With Halving Alone
While Sirer is making a case that the cryptocurrency market needs technical development to surpass the $1 trillion milestone, a number of pundits have recently claimed that this may not be the case.
PlanB, an industry researcher, recently claimed that 2020’s block reward reduction could be the sole catalyst that hoists BTC above $50,000 apiece. As reported by NewsBTC previously, the analyst noted that if Bitcoin follows a linear trend that relates the stock-to-flow ratio (SF) to asset valuation, the mentioned auspicious event will allow the aggregate value of all BTC to reach $1 trillion.
While $55,000 for each BTC seems irrational for most, PlanB writes that money from silver, gold, negative interest rate economies, authoritarian and capital control-rife states, billionaires looking for a quantitative easing hedge, and institutional investors will eventually flood into this space. This in and of itself may seem like a pipe dream, but some are sure this is likely, especially with the increase in hyperinflation, fiscal mismanagement, and speculators looking for alternative investment opportunities.
Although many are sure that the halving event will create waves, Messari’s Ryan Selkis recently drew attention to another catalyst that could be responsible for creating a $1 trillion Bitcoin. The chief executive of Messari explained that with millennials inheriting billions from their to-be-deceased parents over the coming decades, much of that money could theoretically find itself in the crypto market, pushing up prices as a result.
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