Altcoins plummet as geopolitical instability and long liquidations shake the market

On Oct. 2, several major altcoins, including STRK, AR, LDO, and CORE, experienced double-digit losses as geopolitical tensions and long liquidations hit the crypto market.

Starknet (STRK) led the altcoin losses, dropping 13.4% over the past 24 hours. Trading volume remained around $151 million, while its market capitalization shrunk by 13.75%, now sitting at $772 million.

Similarly, Arweave (AR) fell 14.3% to $19.98, with a daily trading volume of $226 million and a market cap of $1.3 billionโ€”its lowest point in the last seven days.

Lido DAO (LDO) also suffered, down 12.7%, trading at $1.16. Lidoโ€™s market cap declined to $1.03 billion, with a daily volume of $179 million. Core (CORE) followed suit, slipping 12.4% to $0.9292, with $50.4 million in daily trading volume and a market cap reduced to $851 million.

Broader market conditions and Bitcoinโ€™s role

The sharp decline in these altcoins coincided with a broader contraction in the cryptocurrency market, which saw its total market capitalization drop by over 5.5% to approximately $2.26 trillion. The downturn occurred against a backdrop of rising geopolitical instability, including Iranโ€™s missile strikes on Oct. 1 and a pullback in US equities, which compounded a weakening investor outlook for the traditionally bullish โ€œUptober.โ€

Bitcoin (BTC), the marketโ€™s anchor asset, dropped 3.2% in the last 24 hours, shedding nearly $4,000 hitting a two-week low of $60,315 earlier today, per data from crypto.news. The decline was partially driven by geopolitical developments, which spurred sell-offs in risk assets across global markets.

BTC 24-hour price chart | Source: crypto.news

Though Bitcoin has recovered slightly to $61,850, its price action stands in stark contrast to that of traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and oil. Gold surged 1.4% to $2,665 per ounce, nearing a record high, while crude oil spiked 7% to $72 per barrel.

The rising value of gold, oil, the US dollar, and bonds highlights the divergence between Bitcoin and traditional hedges, raising questions about Bitcoinโ€™s status as a store of value during times of crisis.

Liquidations amplify market downturn

Data from CoinGlass shows the scale of market turbulence, with $453 million in long positions liquidated over the past 24 hours, compared to $72 million in short positions. This liquidation of long trades, where investors bet on price increases, added to the selling pressure, further accelerating the drop.

This cycle of liquidations and sell-offs, particularly in a volatile market, tends to ripple through the altcoin sector, dragging down the broader market.

Bitcoin needs to secure $71K

Veteran trader Peter Brandt remarked that despite Bitcoinโ€™s rally in the last weeks of September, it remains trapped in a seven-month pattern of lower highs and lower lows.ย 

According to Brandt, only a close above $71,000, accompanied by a new all-time high, would confirm that Bitcoinโ€™s upward trend, which began in November 2022, remains intact.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, dropped from 59 last week (neutral) to 42 when writing, indicating a shift toward fear as geopolitical risks spook investors.

Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited heightened volatility during stressful periods, as seen earlier this year following the Israeli-Iranian conflict, which triggered a major price correction.

Looking ahead, the current geopolitical situation could continue to weigh on the market, particularly if the conflict escalates. Increased instability could spur further sell-offs, heightening volatility across the crypto space.

CryptoX Portal

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