- BTC is steady above $8,500, add 14.9 percent
- Prices in an uptrend but real FOMO is after $10,000 says Tom Lee
Tom Lee is an ardent Bitcoin supporter. Contrary to the mainstream view, he believes real FOMO for BTC will begin after prices rally past the psychological $10,000 mark. Currently, BTC is up 14.9 percent from last week’s close.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
Fundamentals
A healthy blend of growing awareness, coupled with the involvement of industry heavyweights and improving infrastructure, is somehow giving Bitcoin momentum. At some point this week, there was an expected reversal from the $9,000 mark. That is normal. Prices do expand and shrink, depending on supply and demand dynamics.
However, it is about the resilience of buyers. How they will maintain demand, and keep prices above key supports is what counts. After all, demand is a measure of participation. Although we cannot refute that buyers are back as trading volumes surge, Fundstrat Global Head Analyst Tom Lee is calling for patience.
While responding to a tweet from Financial Times’ Adam Samson, he said the real FOMO trigger is when BTC break above the $10,000 psychological mark. To him, that’s when BTC will edge past “level 10 FOMO.” The level is from Fundstrat’s study that compartmentalizes the level of BTC investor involvement from 1 to 10.
At what price will see FOMO from those who gloated about 90% crash in $BTC?
Military term, SWAG (scientific wild-assed guess).
My SWAG is $10,000 is price that causes FOMO from those who saw #bitcoin as dead forever.
POLL:
At what price do we see FOMO?— Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) May 12, 2019
Per Tom Lee’s calculations, that is when “a price level only seen 3 percent of all days [and] mathematically equivalent to exceeding $BTC $4,500 in 2017.”
Actually the point of the chart is to say “real FOMO” probably starts when #bitcoin exceeds $10,000 as that is a price level only seen 3% of all days…
…mathematically equivalent to exceeding $BTC $4,500 in 2017
Looking back, that price was a level that indeed triggered FOMO
— Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) May 29, 2019
Candlestick Arrangement
Stable above $8,500, BTC is in an uptrend. At the time of writing, the world’s most valuable digital asset is shrugging off sellers. It is up 14.9 percent from week to date, thereby affirming the presence of optimistic buyers.
In line with previous BTC/USD price analyses, traders should search for loading opportunities on dips. Modest targets lie at $9,000, which is this week’s high. However, any clearance could see BTC surge to $10,000 or higher by the end of Q3 2019.
Technically, BTC is within a breakout pattern and although in consolidation within May 26th trade range, rejection of lower prices hints of underlying demand.
In that case, risk-averse traders can wait for close above $9,000 at the back of high trading volumes exceeding recent averages.
Technical Indicator
Because of candlestick arrangement, May 26th bull bar anchors this BTC trade plan. Safe the low trading volumes, it is wide-ranging, and probably is laying the foundation that could see prices expand beyond $9,000.
In a similar fashion, the conservative traders, as aforementioned, can only initiate longs if accompanying trading volumes propelling BTC above $9,000 exceeds 19k.
Chart courtesy of Trading View. Image Courtesy of Shutterstock
